Comments on: Bayesian Statistics vs. Bayesian Epistemology

By: Simon Myers

Simon Myers — Tue, 10 Mar 2020 10:46:27 +0000

Hey Richard, I have been reading and commenting for a while and we chatted by email a few times. I just wanted to note the small world, in that it’s very cool seeing you cite Adam Sanborn and Nick Chater`s paper! Adam is actually my PhD supervisor and Nick is constantly supporting and advising me.

What’s weird is, I’m working on morality rather than baysian approaches to cognition. Morality being the other main thing you are interested in! (Would be cool to link them at some point but I’m not there yet.)

By: gmstoryfan

gmstoryfan — Sat, 29 Feb 2020 02:19:16 +0000

I will have to read their paper. I am a big fan of the Everett many-worlds interpretation, so doubt that the ‘measurement’ will have to be included. As you quoted them: “quantum mechanics can be perfectly described by Bayesian probability theory on Hilbert space”

By: Barry Rucker

Barry Rucker — Wed, 26 Feb 2020 19:55:49 +0000

An open letter to Dr. Carrier's readers. I highly recommend buying, reading, and re-reading Dr. Carrier's book, Proving History. I also highly recommend taking his affordable online courses on Bayesian epistemology and critical thinking. They pay off in more ways than one. Nearly every day I find occasion to use the concepts at least once. For example, yesterday I received two glowing, sincere recommendations from two people, one of whom is a friend. Using critical thinking and Bayesian epistemology, I avoided wasted time, wasted money, and a rabbit hole of superstition in one case. In the other case, I avoided pain and saved over $70,000!! What I purchased from Dr. Carrier cost ~.001 of what I saved in one day!! And such thinking is not particularly difficult. One needn't be an expert--one benefits greatly from a basic understanding of the concepts Dr. Carrier teaches.

By: Jared Robertson

Jared Robertson — Wed, 26 Feb 2020 01:35:12 +0000

I know it’s got to frustrate the hell out of you having to explain to people what they should already know. I’ll be the first to admit I’m struggling with Bayesian analysis not with it’s premise but with the application. I probably won’t really get it until I sit in a classroom and actually work it out on paper. Hopefully you know there’s also people who suffer from cognitive dissonance and no matter how much proof or evidence or how impassioned a speech you give, there’s just going to be those people that cling to their faith because they basically sold their souls and they’ve invested all their self worth in a lie they HAVE to perpetuate or someone will find out they’re a Goddamn liar.