There is a strange little fringe movement, including in its ranks even atheists and other nonbelievers, that attempts to make the bizarre argument that Christians should abandon their religion because “the Bible” says the entire Christian gospel concluded its business in 70 A.D. It’s called the “Israel Only” movement, because it holds that the “original” teaching of the Christians was that the gospel was meant for Israel only, and only applied to canceling the Old Torah Covenant, and thus once that was concluded (particularly with the final destruction of the Jewish Temple in 70 A.D. “ending” Old Judaism, thus bringing to final culmination the magical effects of Jesus’s atoning death), it no longer had any role to play in human society. In other words, the “original” Christian teaching, we are supposed to believe, was about a temporal event that has served no cosmological function since—the religion was never intended to persist or apply beyond that date. And the IO crowd claims to have such devastating proof of this as to warrant continual eyerollingly hyperbolic rhetoric like that their evidence “destroys” Christianity and is a “Christianity killer” and “it should be obvious to anyone with even a single brain cell” they’re right, and other silly boasts.

The intended implication of the IO thesis is that “everyone” is now saved who ever could be saved (and no one today is saved at all), because “sin” no longer exists in the cosmic sense, Jesus “canceled” it, the covenant is done with, everyone who was ever really bound by it is long dead, and no one need do anything anymore to be resurrected or live forever, or whatever—much less get baptized or profess any faith or “bring Jesus into your heart.” By which again they mean, this is what the first Christians taught—as many advocates of this view appear to be unbelievers and thus don’t really believe the Christian God even exists, so their actual position is that this whole teaching was of course false. Their aim now (as they represent it) is not to promote a new religion, a new “post-Christian” theology, but to somehow “argue” Christians out of being Christians by convincing them they aren’t following any faith Jesus or the Apostles promoted—which is true (no modern Christianity at all resembles the original), but since that has never argued any Christian out of their religion before, it’s humorously Quixotic of the IO folks to pronounce themselves so confident that their obscure, ignorant, erroneous theory of the original Christian teaching is going to be any more successful at that.

First a Precise Definition of IO

According to IO Advocate Michael Bradley “Israel Only is an interpretive paradigm that shows the entire Bible’s redemptive narrative pertains only to old covenant Israel.” And it does this by returning “biblical words and phrases to their original Israelite context” and “showing that in many cases words like ‘world’ (kosmos) referred to the covenant world of Israel (not the entire planet)” and that any “Gentiles” (ethnos) who were saved were really, secretly, “descendants of the tribes of Israel who had been dispersed among the nations” (i.e. the so-called Lost Tribes of Israel; on which see entries in My Jewish Learning, the Jewish Virtual Library, and the Jewish Encyclopedia).

Likewise, IO advocates distinguish “Israelite” as including pagan descendants of the lost peoples of Israel, from “Jews” as the surviving, usually observant, Judahites (and Benjaminites), more often than New or Old Testament authors ever really intended (thus imputing hidden significance where there is, at best, only contextual variation). Bradley adds that “IO also defends the view that Israel’s redemptive narrative ended in AD 70, along with the need for the gospel,” and this “means nobody today is saved and redeemed, nor has anyone needed salvation and redemption since the first century.” (For a lengthy video on the movement, pro and con, start at minute 48 of A Case For Israel Only by Jason Decosta & MythVision; see also other entries in the MythVision series on IO.)

Overview of What’s Wrong with This

Like most uninformed crankery, IO rests on absurd degrees of confidence wholly out of proportion to its epistemic merits. It mostly fabricates entirely novel “tea leaf” readings of the scriptures, “re-reading” every passage as saying the opposite of what it says, and ignoring all actual standards of historical and literary analysis developed by real experts over the last hundred years; as well as almost all consensus conclusions in the field, too. Its advocates are often cocky, belittling, unmoved by any rebuttal no matter how cogent, and act so much like Christian fundamentalists, in both tactics and their naive and bizarre operating assumptions about the Bible, as to be wholly perplexing, especially for nonbelievers.

Their principal stock in trade, like all cranks, is to rely on stacks of possibiliter fallacies (“possibly x, therefore probably x”) and ignorance (of the actual context and even scholarship on first century Christianity and Judaism, and the language and text of the Bible), while insisting they have flawless logic and a more informed grasp of the ancient context and languages than the entirety of experts the world over. And like cranks, it looks a lot to me like when they do get caught being ignorant of these things, they pretend to have known about them all along and invent elaborate excuses for rejecting all that expert knowledge as false; usually by circular logic: presuming their assumptions are true, using them to “reinterpret” all the evidence, and then concluding they have thereby proved their assumptions are true. Just like practically every Christian apologist you have ever met.

Oh, perhaps I should have mentioned, no IO advocate has any relevant qualifications that I’ve been able to discern. So far as I can tell none have a Ph.D. in any pertinent subject nor any applicable publication histories or even any real grasp of the languages. And they have never published any of their claims under academic peer review. They have zero expert backing for any of their weird claims. Not that that automatically nixes their theory, but it’s a huge red flag; it means their claims merit skepticism. They have a really high bar to meet if they want anyone to actually take them seriously. They don’t meet it.

Why Bother with This?

IO has of course been debunked by Christian apologists (e.g. at Answering Israel Only and Dissecting Israel Only and the Preterist Research Institute). But it’s worth an atheist’s expert look, since one might dismiss the Christians as having an obvious agenda, and even justify that dismissal by nitpicking many of their arguments and claims that have too much of a faith-based foundation. No such charge can be laid to me; I’d love it if the IO thesis were provably correct. But it’s not. And I have to tell it like it is.

Of course I usually wouldn’t waste my time on this—there are thousands of crank theories out there, and this one wouldn’t interest me any more than any other—but as I will often do, if you hire me to research and evaluate something in my wheelhouse, I will. And as I tell anyone who employs me on any such mission, I won’t necessarily tell you what you want to hear. I’ll conclude as the facts indicate, even if it disappoints you. But this is my profession. It’s what my Ph.D. is for. So no matter what the result, I’ll make a serious job of finding out what the facts are and report them. It just so happens that in this case, the claim I was hired to examine is incorrect five times from Sunday.

I didn’t assume it would be. It’s at least plausible that maybe, for example, Paul thought the Gentiles he was converting were the only ones “allowed” by God to convert because they “happened” to unknowingly be Israelites from the lost tribes (the only way the IO thesis can honestly make sense of the historical facts), and maybe Paul imagined his imminent apocalypticism to be unextendable—as in, even if the Earth wasn’t melted in his lifetime (or very shortly thereafter) and the saved weren’t all snatched up into the clouds to don our magical new bodies stored in a warehouse in outer space, he might have taught that the conditions assuring anyone’s resurrection would nevertheless still be fixed and concluded by the mid-to-late first century regardless, ending the need for any further evangelism thereafter. These things I knew were all unlikely. But being novel propositions, I hadn’t double checked the scriptures to know for sure. You’d have to pay me to do that. Well, duly paid (by the generous fans and supporters of the MythVision Podcast), the following is what I found.

Problem Number One

IO advocacy often strains under multiple confusions. They often slip into conflating different cosmic, textual, and historical questions, and this screws up their case quite a bit. It’s important therefore to start off by sorting some of this out.

First:

There is a difference between what Paul taught and what the first Christians taught. IO advocates seem not to know this; or at least, a lot of their arguments act like Paul’s teaching was the original. But it wasn’t. The original Christians (principally, by Paul’s own attestation, Peter, James, and John) were not pursuing an ardent Gentile mission at all. And I mean that even in the IO sense, i.e. even if “Gentile” meant only currently-pagan descendants of Israelites. Paul makes clear he was the first to take much interest in starting such a mission at all, and he even had to struggle to get the original Christians to accept that (this is the whole point of Paul’s narrative in Galatians 1-2).

That means before Paul Christianity was a strictly Jewish sect, for Jews. And I mean that even in the IO sense, i.e. they were preaching only to Torah observant “Jews” (or as IO might identify them, Judahites and Benjaminites) and not investing any effort to “recover” lost Israelites; and even when they did it was to convert them to Judaism (a fact I’ll discuss more below). Paul was essentially a heretic—one who was only barely able to convince the original movement to accept his new marketing tactic of concertedly recruiting Gentiles, in any sense whatever (see Galatians 1-4; cf. Romans 11:13-14 & 15:14-20). This means Paul was not preaching what Jesus really did, if Jesus existed. It’s quite clear any historical Jesus there had been was originally understood to have promoted the faith only to already-Torah-observant Jews and converts to Judaism.

Which is another thing IO advocates often appear to confuse (or simply deny). The original sect (which is most clearly represented in the Bible by the Gospel of Matthew, the book of Revelation, and the Epistle of James) only preached to non-Israelites in the same sense all Jews had: by seeking converts to Judaism (Galatians 2 and 5-6; indeed conversion to Judaism was particularly at its peak in the early Roman period, as attested by numerous first century authors, including Philo of Alexandria; see Jews, Idumaeans, and Ancient Arabs by Aryeh Kasher, “Conversion to Judaism in Classical Antiquity” by Louis Feldman in Hebrew Union College Annual, and Paul the Convert by Alan Segal, pp. 80-93). This is crucially important. By the time Christianity arose, being “an Israelite” was not, as IO advocates naively think, a biological property at all. It was solely a function of whether you joined the covenant. Which anyone could do.

On the standard fact of conversion to become an Israelite see Exodus 12:48-49 and the relevant entries in the Jewish Encyclopedia and the Oxford Classical Dictionary, as well as Ellen Birnbaum’s The Place of Judaism in Philo’s Thought: Israel, Jews, and Proselytes and J.C. Paget’s study “Jewish Proselytism at the Time of Christian Origins” in the Journal for the Study of the New Testament. Simply as Josephus put it, anyone who converts to Judaism, “they are thereafter no other than Jews” (Antiquities 13.258). No exception made for sharing in the resurrection. Hence biological descent was in practice irrelevant to the matter of salvation. Likewise the other way around: being biologically descended from an Israelite did not simply make you an Israelite. If you weren’t circumcised—if you weren’t initiated into the covenant—you simply were no longer of Israel (and apart from that, God would resurrect only exceptionally righteous non-Israelites, as well as not resurrect exceptionally wicked Israelites—or any who “renounced” the covenant). I don’t think IO advocates understand that ancients took adoption into a family far more seriously than we do today: to be adopted in was to be a part of the family—not literally, but in all other respects that mattered (like inheritance—whether it be estates or salvation). As the Talmud says, after anyone (literally anyone) completes their conversion, “he is an Israelite in all respects.” Period.

Uninformed amateurs often get this wrong, because modern Israel has adopted a biological-descent definition of Israeli; and amateurs don’t know that’s a new idea. It isn’t how Judaism originally worked. They also get this wrong because a lot of ancient talk does presume that the children of Jews would be Jews, and thus that the expectation was mostly of a biological fulfillment. But one should not confuse an expectation with a requirement. What mattered in practice was joining the covenant, not genetics. Thus, even when God “promises” the “seed” of Abraham would win God’s grace, this was not meant in the modern “genetic” sense at all. It meant anyone of his tribe—whether born or inducted; just as it also excluded any “genetic” Abrahamite who renounced the covenant (or behaved so outrageously as to be regarded as having done so). The Jewish Mishnah and Talmud are quite clear on this.

Biological descent could matter for other reasons: prestige, pedigree, kinship status, property inheritance, even prophecy (e.g. the only reason Jesus had to be “biologically” a Jew is that he had to be “biologically” a descendant of King David, a fundamental requirement to qualify as an eschatological messiah, as that’s simply what scripture said—unless it could be interpreted metaphorically). But it did not matter for salvation or membership in the Israelite community. Everyone who joined the covenant—even if born a Gentile with no Israelite heritage—would be saved in the end times, and fully accounted an Israelite. This was in fact why Torah observance was so essential to the original Christians: how could you be saved, if you didn’t even enter into God’s contract? Merely having a Jewish mom or dad didn’t accomplish that. It would not save you. (Even less so a pagan ex-Israelite mom or dad!) This the IO advocate will admit; but my point is that biology counted for nothing. Only entering (and remaining in) a contract with God brings salvation from death. All Jews and Christians agreed on that. Yet this renders the IO thesis unintelligible. Nowhere does anyone (in the OT or NT) say there will come a time when God will just resurrect “everyone” without any contract assuring it. In other words, IO doesn’t seem to understand what a covenant was for.

Which is also why the IO movement’s obsession with the “lost tribes” is in and of itself hopelessly anachronistic—no ancient Jew or Christian would have believed a mere descendant of a lost Israelite tribe qualified as an Israelite or even as under God’s covenant at all (hence why even the Mishnah declares them damned, being no longer a part of “all Israel” that will be saved, per M. Sanh. 10). So by IO logic they were already free of sin, as they were under no law. So why evangelize them? Under IO logic, they had no need of that. The IO thesis is thus self-contradictory. It requires fabricating some never-stated contradictory “third state” whereby pagan Israelites are somehow both “under the law” and thus in need of saving from that and not “under the law” as by definition they never entered into any covenant subjecting them to it. This simply makes no sense.

To be fair, there was in many a hope that the lost tribes would be reintegrated into the covenant that awards salvation, as simply a way to set right something gone wrong. Those captives were under the covenant then and thus had been promised their descendants would be (including subsequent inductees), so as to receive God’s salvation—which at that time meant simply inheriting the earthly holy land, but later became, under Persian Zoroastrian influence, “inheriting the heavenly kingdom” instead, by a resurrection of the dead. But either way it seemed unjust that those lost tribes’ descendants should never get to make good on what they were promised. But this expectation in no way implicated the idea that they were under the covenant. They weren’t. They had thus long since ceased to really be Israelites. They could only be so again by again converting back to the covenant—through circumcision and adherence to Torah.

Second:

There is a difference between what Paul taught and what is actually true. Even if Paul believed all Gentile converts were lost Israelites as IO imagines, in actual fact they weren’t; that’s scientifically false, historically and biologically. So it’s still a false belief. So we can’t really be asking here whether it’s true that every Gentile who then converted to Christianity was “secretly” (or even knowingly) a lost Israelite. It isn’t. We are only asking a far more useless and trivial question: whether the earliest Christians held this obscure but false belief. And that requires finding evidence they did—and not finding evidence they didn’t. And as you’ll see shortly, IO will strike out twice here: the letters of Paul not only don’t evince any such teaching as IO presumes, but they even explicitly contradict it. IO has to “invent” evidence by reinterpreting every text, because there is nowhere any plain statement of their thesis in the Bible.

(It’s also inexplicable how IO expects to deconvert Christians by selling them on a claim about the first Gentile Christians being lost Israelites that they have to admit is false—as it’s physically impossible that Paul “found” and successfully converted “all” the individuals on Earth descending from an Israelite whom some real “God” elected to be the remnant of Israelites saved, particularly since gods don’t exist, nor any of the miraculous powers and knowledge that would be needed to accomplish such an incredible thing—even if Paul believed he had done that, there is no plausible sense in which that belief could be true; but I’m less interested in IO’s self-defeating agenda than in its fact-claims about ancient Christianity.)

This distinction between what Paul taught and what would actually have been true is why it’s crucial to remember Paul was a heretic who never met Jesus, and claimed instead that Jesus came to him in a vision or dream and told him God had changed his mind. That we know is false. Jesus, even if he existed, was dead. He never really taught this to Paul, no matter how much Paul might have believed he did. Which means Jesus never taught it to anyone. Which means the first Christians cannot be assumed to have already held this false belief about whatever Gentiles they happened to convert being descendants of lost Israelites. Even if Paul believed that, it seems, more likely than not, he would have to have invented that belief. It wasn’t a belief Jesus advocated, and it wasn’t a belief of the original Christians—the many Apostles before Paul. They did not even have much of a Gentile mission until Paul’s innovation.

Ironically, that is a well-established fact in mainstream peer reviewed scholarship, unlike the IO thesis, and yet that fact has not caused the universal abandonment of Christianity. I doubt it has caused even a single Christian to leave the faith. Even though all Christians today are heretics, and thus assuredly damned according to the original Christian teaching (as would have been taught by Jesus and all his first Apostles), because they are not keeping Torah. They did not convert to Judaism. They are not under the covenant. So the blood of Jesus will do nothing for them—any more than the Yom Kippur temple sacrifices would have (which the death of Jesus merely conceptually replaced). Only Jewish Christians will be raised from the dead to live forever. That was the original Christian teaching. This is an honestly indubitable fact. Yet it has had no impact whatever on the Christian faith—much less has it “destroyed” and “killed” Christianity. It’s absurd to think the ill-conceived IO thesis is going to work any more magic than that already well-established fact has.

It’s thus important to note that IO advocates reject all ancient literature and all modern scholarship that unanimously concurs you didn’t have to be Israelite by descent to become one and be saved by God’s covenant. They instead “re-interpret” all that evidence as saying the opposite, by circularly assuming their conclusion in their premises. Even when this is impossible. For example, that a convert “is an Israelite in all respects,” per b. Yebamot 47, is a statement that entails they weren’t an Israelite before, and yet now wholly are. Even in the various trivial ways the Mishnah treats converts differently (e.g. they could not join a Sanhedrin until the third generation), they are still assured of the resurrection—the entire point of converting. Indeed, of all surviving lists of those who would not receive resurrection, “converts” is listed in not one of them.

Rabbis even cited scripture, noting that Isaiah 14:1 declares any foreigner who is not “of the house of Jacob” (in other words, not an Israelite) may cleave to and become so (whereas descendants of “lost tribes,” by contrast, would already be “of the house” of Israel in the IO sense). Indeed that whole section of the Talmud lays down requirements for any outsider to become an Israelite—and at no point is “they are descended from a lost tribe of Israel” ever mentioned. Nor is such a thing said anywhere in ancient Jewish literature. It therefore wasn’t required. Indeed, Mishnah Bikkurim 1:4 even declares it not to be the case: converts were not biological Israelites, yet still participated in the benefits of being in the congregation of Israel.

This is how ancient Judaism operated. Yet IO advocates won’t acknowledge any of this. They will try to insist Jews were racists who opposed foreign converts, but vast evidence even for the first century refutes that; they will try to insist converts weren’t “full” Israelites in some sense or other, but that’s irrelevant: they were under Torah law (not the limited Noachian law or “Natural” law many Jews believed all people were subject to), and they received the promise of resurrection for it. Accordingly, IO advocates fail to grasp that the dispute Paul initiated with the original Christians was not over whether non-Israelites could be saved, but how they could be saved. Because all agreed they could be.

The original Christians insisted only those who entered the covenant could be saved: that means Jews by conversion, not Jews by race. A Jew by race who never entered the covenant (e.g. was never circumcised, and never kept kosher) would not be saved any more than any random non-Israelite would be (as the Mishnah outright declares). So race didn’t cut it. Nor was it necessary. This is even more clear in the Dead Sea Scrolls, where “being a Jew by race” was so insufficient that most Jews were in fact damned, because they did not keep to the correct covenant. Even Talmudic Jews made this point, e.g. Sadducees, by denying the resurrection, were deemed as renouncing the covenant and thus would not be saved—their being “the seed of Abraham” accounted them nothing. This is largely why in the time Christianity arose Judaism had schismed into dozens of sects, each declaring the others damned (see “The Heady Days of Jewish Diversity” in The Empty Tomb, pp. 107-110).

Therefore:

Taking all these facts into consideration, the question becomes: Did Paul make this argument to the original Christians—that we need to get more Gentiles in and don’t have to convert them to Judaism to do it—on the grounds that everyone who just happened to agree to be baptized into the Christian community was going to be (by the grace of God?) a descendant of a lost Israelite? Or did he make the argument that his “new covenant” logic worked because material facts no longer matter, as spiritual facts can replace them? The latter argument is explicitly and clearly and repeatedly in Paul. The former is not. And that’s that. IO is done for. It has to be “read in” to Paul by going beyond the plain meaning of his words, and ignoring everything he says that contradicts it. IO thus becomes too improbable to credit. Because, seriously. Why would Paul explicitly argue biology didn’t matter, and somehow have meant that biology mattered? That does not appear to have ever been his argument.

What Paul tried to argue was not “that Gentiles could be saved” (Peter and gang already knew they could be: by converting to the Jewish covenant and thus becoming Israelites, per Exodus and Mishnah law) but “that Gentiles could be saved by spiritual circumcision” and thus they did not need to convert to the old covenant. Hence Gentiles, Paul argued, did not need to keep kosher or strictly follow Torah; they could follow the general spirit of it instead. He proposed they could enter a new and different agreement with God to be saved, a “New Covenant.” That is the actual dispute he represents throughout his letters. And Paul only eventually persuaded the original church to accept his innovation. (Probably, I suspect, because it was a cash cow; Paul’s letters so frequently refer to the wodges of coin he was bringing back to the original leadership on a regular basis, culled from his growing Gentile congregations far and wide—and I’ll bet they figured, better to get in on that than compete with it. See J.D.M. Derrett’s chapter “Financial Aspects of the Resurrection” in The Empty Tomb.)

Example: Hebrews 9:15

I’ll illustrate what I mean with an example. Like all crankery, IO is defended with gigantic, massive word walls of endless, rambling, convoluted claims that would take a lifetime to vet. But all we need, really, is to see if what even they claim are their best moves hold up or fall down as unsustainably erroneous and naive. If it’s the latter, then at that point we know we needn’t waste any time culling the rest. Their attempt to harass us with thousands of claims will fall flat as just more evidence of their crank methodology.

My first such example we get from IO fanatic Michael Beiras (from a Facebook group post I won’t link to), which declares “Hebrews 9:15 destroys Christianity” and is “the Christianity killer” and then proceeds with prodigious uses of capslocked text to claim that because that passage says only transgressions “under the first covenant” are redeemed by Jesus’s sacrifice, that therefore, no one today is thereby saved by it, since “not one person has been under the first covenant for 2000 years” (there are 15 million Jews today who would disagree with that, but never mind). In any event, he’s saying, Christianity no longer offers salvation to anyone today, because “there is not one scripture that teaches Jesus died for ‘sins’ outside of the first covenant.”

This is a serious facepalm moment. Lordy. Where do I even begin?

First:

Hebrews 9:15 does not say “only” transgressions “under the first covenant” are redeemed by Jesus’s sacrifice. Beiras seems not to know why Hebrews is called “Hebrews.” It’s a letter written “To the Hebrews” (that’s literally its title in Greek). The entire letter is meant only for a Jewish Christian audience, and it is only arguing with a Jewish Christian opposition (accordingly, the word “Gentile” appears nowhere in it). Its explicitly stated goal is to convince Jewish Christians that they don’t have to maintain Torah observance anymore (or return to it), hence they no longer require the temple sacrifices to be saved. Ironically, Beiras, like all IO advocates, illogically “assumes” that if some books in the NT were written specifically to or about Jews, “therefore” they all were—a straightforward non sequitur—yet he is in turn blinded by that false assumption to not take into account that this letter is written “To the Hebrews,” not to all Christians, so no inferences can be drawn from it about “all” Christians.

Hence when the author of Hebrews says (emphasis now mine) Christ “is the mediator of a new covenant” so that by his death there shall be a “redemption of the transgressions under the first covenant,” so “those having been called might receive the promise of eternal inheritance,” he means here his Jewish audience, who are the ones God “promised” an “eternal inheritance” to. They were under the first covenant because they are Jews. But, this author says, Jesus set up a new agreement, so they don’t need to stick to the old one anymore. The author does not say here that Jesus only died for those under that old covenant. He is merely speaking only to those who were under that old covenant. The word “only” thus isn’t there. This passage in no way entails a belief or teaching that Jesus didn’t also die to redeem non-covenanted Gentiles. Gentiles just aren’t the intended readers of this letter; so its author isn’t talking about them.

Second:

The entire point of this passage is that the old covenant isn’t needed because there is a new covenant to enter into instead. This is a point made throughout Paul’s letters as well (Paul did not write Hebrews). I get the impression that IO advocates don’t really get the fact that in ancient Judaism, and consequently in earliest Christianity (which was a Jewish sect) and in Paul’s mind (being himself a Jew), everyone is damned. Except for those remote few so unusually righteous as to impress God into making them an exception, non-Israelites will all either burn in hell or (more typically it was believed) simply stay dead once they expire, and cease to exist (based on Psalm 9:17, likewise per Tosefta, Sanhedrin 13.2-4, and so on; for the same reason, the lost ten tribes were excluded from the resurrection, per Mishnah, Sanhedrin 10, esp. 10.3.V.DD-EE). No one gets saved—no one gets resurrected to eternal life—who hasn’t made an agreement with God to inherit that boon.

The original Christians went around offering the same agreement as all Jews did—the Old Covenant (and lest it’s not clear, covenant means “agreement” or “contract”)—with really just one main modification: that the sacrifice of Jesus replaced the temple sacrifices (so you no longer were dependent on the Levitical temple system: see On the Historicity of Jesus, Chapter 5, Elements 23-29; and Chapter 4, Element 18). What Paul did was convert this notion into a New Covenant: the sacrifice of Jesus created the opportunity to sell a new agreement to people, principally to those who hadn’t already signed on to the old one. Thus, Paul argued, Gentile converts did not have to sign on to the old contract with God to be saved; they could sign on to the new contract to be saved. But they still had to sign a contract to be saved.

This is what I think IO fanatics don’t understand about Paul’s system of salvation. When the author of Hebrews says Jesus died to redeem those who (being fallible inevitably) will transgress the old covenant (meaning, Jewish Christians), had you stopped him and asked him, “What about the Gentile Christians?” he would have looked quizzically at you and said, “Jesus died to redeem those who (being fallible inevitably) will transgress the new covenant, too.” In other words, if you didn’t “join in a covenant” with God (new or old), you didn’t get saved. Then when you die, you stay dead. Forever. But the way you get saved by “joining in a covenant” is that even if you should then transgress even that new agreement with God, the atonement (whether Levitical or Christian) still has you covered. In no way does Paul ever say non-Israelites “never” sin or are “never” sinners or have “no” stain of sin on them that must be removed to be saved; his letters are filled with declarations of the sinfulness of non-Israelites that will ensure their damnation thus requiring them to sign on to a new covenant with Jesus (or else convert to Judaism, i.e. sign that arduous old contract instead).

Paul is very explicit about this:

Because of your stubbornness and your unrepentant heart, you are storing up wrath against yourself for the day of God’s wrath, when his righteous judgment will be revealed. God “will repay each person according to what they have done.” To those who by persistence in doing good seek glory, honor and immortality, he will give eternal life. But for those who are self-seeking and who reject the truth and follow evil, there will be wrath and anger. There will be trouble and distress for every human being who does evil: first for the Jew, then for the Greek; but glory, honor and peace for everyone who does good: first for the Jew, then for the Greek. For God does not show favoritism. All who sin apart from the law will also perish apart from the law, and all who sin under the law will be judged by the law.

Romans 2:5-12 (see also Paul’s preceding point leading into this in Romans 1:18-32)

Beiras ignores the actual words of Paul here, and thus bizarrely claims Paul never said exactly what he here says. Literally Paul’s Greek reads that God’s wrath comes “upon every soul of man” (ἐπὶ πᾶσαν ψυχὴν ἀνθρώπου; again singular, thus “man,” not “mankind”) “who works evil” (τοῦ κατεργαζομένου τὸ κακόν, a much broader statement than “sins”). That’s everyone. There is no valid way to twist this into saying otherwise: Paul means everyone who does anything bad. Not just Israelite descendants who break Torah laws. Paul then goes on to say that explicitly.

The IO claim that “only” those under the “old” agreement need the redemption of Jesus to be saved is thus here directly refuted by Paul himself, who outright tells us those under no covenant at all need the redemption of Jesus to be saved as well. He explicitly says people can and do “sin apart from the law.” Exactly the opposite of the IO claim that only those under the law can sin. Hence the IO tactic of “reinterpreting” the word “Greek” here to mean “(descendant of a lost) Israelite (tribe)” (an argument of equivalence Paul never makes) simply does not work, because Paul already says that whoever these Greeks are, they are not under the covenant. Yet, he says, they still need salvation. They are still sinners too.

Which should be obvious. Christians today are principally Christians because they don’t want to die. And Paul plainly says the only way to live forever is to join in an agreement with God—so you have your pick: the old agreement (become a Jew) or the new agreement (become baptized in Jesus). The IO claim that “this isn’t true anymore” simply is directly refuted by Paul, repeatedly. So they cannot sustain such a false claim about ancient Christian belief. This is the one point on which ancient Christian belief and modern (conservative) Christian teaching remain the same: no contract, no eternal life. Period. Paul’s only innovation over the original Christian teaching was to claim God was now offering a new, easier contract. But you still have to join either contract to be saved. Paul never says that rule “ends” at any time, and his logic entails it could not end at any time.

I suspect the IO mistake here is partly caused by their not knowing that Jews were quasi-universalists: despite Paul’s rhetoric (since he, like IO apologists, and every other Jewish sectarian, tried to hide the truth behind convoluted word walls), for any Jew, every contract-holder is saved. It does not matter how big of a sinner you are, how much you fail to uphold your end of the contract. Because in ancient Judaism, the usual penalty for failure to hold up your end was not exclusion from eternal life, but atonement, i.e. enduring a punishment to cleanse you of sin, before gaining eternal life. There were some exceptions, e.g. blasphemers were deemed to have lost contractual access to eternal life, as they were regarded as having renounced God and any obligation to him, the spiritual equivalent of “revoking your citizenship.” And Jewish sectarians could be quite liberal in what they counted as “blasphemy” or other irredeemable crimes, so as to declare everyone they didn’t like damned. But generally, apart from those political disputes over whose covenant counted as “the real” one, even the most lax of Jews, if they were covenanted (for men, circumcised; and for men and women, placed under the Jewish law), they would be saved. Thus, strictly speaking, Jews don’t need Jesus. They just have a rougher ticket to salvation without him.

Of course, each Jewish sect claimed the others were “outside the covenant” and thus not saved, because they were following the “wrong” covenant—so every sect was eagerly evangelizing every other, and the Christian sect was no different in this respect. But of course the Jews they were evangelizing didn’t believe that—by definition, as that’s why they were in the sect they were in and not some other. The Christian mission was thus a hard sell. Indeed that’s why its Jewish mission basically failed and died out, just as most other sects of Judaism did. But even in this context, in any argument with a real Jew of his day, Paul would have been forced to agree that a Jew faithfully following a correct covenantal relationship with God would be saved eventually, if but for a great deal of suffering atonement. Hence Paul never says all covenants were false. He assiduously admits there was a real covenant, and many a Jew had been dying under it for centuries. So his only real selling point (from the perspective of any actual Jewish audience) was that his covenant was easier to follow. Otherwise, every Jew would have laughed Paul off with plain declarations that their salvation was assured, however rough the atonement it required.

This is why we find in the Talmud and Mishnah elaborate explanations of how even condemned and executed criminals—the most assured violators of God’s old covenant contract one can imagine—will rise from the dead to eternal life in paradise. The general teaching was as follows:

  • Individual temple sacrifices (per Leviticus) “removed” all contract-violating sins, thus getting you back right with God, who will thus then make good on his end of the bargain by resurrecting you (see entries in the Jewish Virtual Library and the Jewish Encyclopedia).
  • In the event any Jew forgot or failed or couldn’t afford to fund individual sacrifices for their every individual sin, there was a national atonement ceremony called Yom Kippur that blanket-canceled every Jew’s sins (see The Impact of Yom Kippur on Early Christianity by Daniel Stökl Ben Ezra).
  • But even the Yom Kippur’s atonement magic only lasted until you sinned again (as was expected to happen at least yearly). So generally, everyone could be expected to carry some burden of sin at any given time.
  • If you died in sin, you would remain conscious in the grave for about a year, experiencing being eaten by worms and the “burning” sensation of decay (as rotten corpses looked as though burned, some believed that’s what it felt like to rot); which is partly the basis for Jesus’s famous line that “the worms that eat them do not die, and the fire is not quenched” (Mark 9:48, paraphrasing Isaiah 66:23-24). The author is riffing on the Jewish belief in the purgatory of the grave. (See, for example, Eric Meyers’ discussion in “The Theological Implications of an Ancient Jewish Burial Custom” in The Jewish Quarterly Review, and my chapter on “The Burial of Jesus” in The Empty Tomb on the Rabbinical logic of secondary burial, the only logical basis for the practice at all, for which we have abundant early first century archaeological evidence, even of executed criminals.)
  • That purgation in the grave then fully atoned for any remaining sins; after which you would get to fall asleep and await the resurrection, being then as saved as anyone (Ibid.). (There was also a belief that one’s suffering in life was a sin-atoning punishment as well, just usually not enough.)

Once you understand this, the entire IO thesis no longer makes any sense. Paul would never have converted any Jews arguing it. IO advocates seem to think Jews would agree they “needed” Jesus’s sacrifice to be saved because they all failed their end of the old contract and thus were doomed; but their failing at that had no effect on God making good on his end of the agreement. It only affected what he got to do to you before making good on it. They were not doomed; their salvation was assured.

Paul does preach a lot as if that wasn’t the case, but he’s deploying mere rhetoric—in actual fact no Jew then would have bought Paul’s false insistence that failing at the law damned a Jew to death. To the contrary, the only actually useful thing Jews would see the sacrifice of Jesus offering them was an avoidance of purgation (the temporary punishment God must inflict on you first, such as tribulations in life, and misery in the grave). And that was only because the Jesus contract was easier to keep to (its rules were simpler), and cost you less (since it required no costly individual atonement sacrifices in the temple throughout the year). But Gentiles, not being under any contract (as Paul says, all who “perish apart from the law”), were doomed without Jesus—or converting to Judaism.

Example: 1 Corinthians 10 & 12

In 1 Corinthians 12:2, Paul writes, “You know that when you were ‘Gentiles’, somehow or other you were influenced and led astray to mute idols.” From here the IO argument goes, “A Gentile,” i.e. pagan, “in the ordinary sense of a non-Israelite would have nothing to be ‘carried away’ from,” and therefore since “only an Israelite would be carried away from one thing to enter into something else,” it follows that “those ‘Gentiles’ in Corinth were Hellenized Israelites who were uncircumcised idol worshipers.” That is of course a non sequitur. Paul does not say they were led away from anything here, much less specifically Torah; nor would living descendants of Israelites raised as pagans have been under the covenant so as to be led away from it. The contrary is a fiction imported into the text by IO, which argues in a circle, by simply presuming its thesis is true in order to argue its thesis is true.

IO advocates seem again to be faltering here on their ignorance of the underlying Greek, using for instance the modern phrase “carried away from” as if that’s in the text. It’s not. The word Paul uses here simply combines apo and agô, “carried” and “away”; there is no second prefix adding a “from” on top of that sense. The word can carry that meaning, but in ancient Greek often did not. So context again is everything. The IO advocate is ignoring grammatical particles and other aspects of the structure of the sentence in the Greek, which actually says (following Conzelmann), “You know, while you were still pagans, how you were drawn to dumb idols and carried away.” Full stop. The crucial element of being carried away from something is not there, much less specifically “from Torah” (making this a double non sequitur).

Pay attention to the context: Paul says this in prelude to his correcting a misapprehension—apparently some Corinthians were worried that demons might be speaking to them in the guise of Jesus, so Paul reassures them they can’t do that (essentially, we are to infer, God won’t let them). Their concern was born of his prior teaching that when they were pagans this is what demons did: misled them into worshiping mute idols (this was a ubiquitous teaching of the early Christians, including Paul: see Not the Impossible Faith, pp. 152-54). If they could do that then, can’t they do that now? Paul calms their worry by answering no.

This passage is therefore not about their having been led away “from Torah,” but having been led away from understanding the true nature of the world (Romans 1:18-32)—not an understanding they once had and lost, but one they never had in the first place—thus “blinding” them from accepting the gospel (2 Corinthians 4:3-4; Galatians 4:8), which “blindness” Paul removed (e.g. 1 Corinthians 10:20 & 2:1-5). This teaching is what led some Corinthians to worry this old deception could still be occurring, requiring Paul to reassure them it wasn’t, because the name of Christ was too magically powerful for demons to feign (and conversely, any “spirit” claiming to tell them Jesus is a fake, must itself be lying; yes, circular logic, but I’m not claiming Paul’s system was logical, I’m only explaining what it was).

Paul had already taught the Corinthians the danger of being “led astray” in the sense of merely “misled” using the example of his own Jewish heritage in 1 Corinthians 10, where he reminds them of the teaching example of how many Israelites were misled to abandon God in the Exodus. That he chose that example I think confuses the IO crowd into thinking Paul means the analogy to be “you and we are alike being misled away from Torah” when in fact the Torah here is incidental; the analogy is merely being misled, being carried away from the truth (that there is but one God; all else are deceiving demons). Thus Paul does not say “your ancestors” were the Israelites in his example, he says “our ancestors,” meaning his ancestors—Paul being himself a Jew. The IO crowd ignores the difference between “your” and “our” and thus arrives at the false conclusion that he must be telling Gentile Corinthians that they are the descendants of those Israelites. Of course, it’s also a fact, per the research of Jason Staples (which I discuss below), that since Paul repeatedly argues non-Israelite converts to Christianity become Israelites spiritually, he could well have said “your” and still not meant biologically. Such a biological claim is the one thing Paul never actually makes, anywhere.

In fact, conspicuously—and as we’ll see shortly, he even denies it.

Which is why IO advocates have to “reinterpret” what Paul said to get that out of the text; it isn’t there in any plain reading. At no point, for example, does Paul say, “You are actually descendants of the Israelites, and that’s why we need you to join the community of Christ” or “those Gentiles who reject the call of Christ must not be Israelites” or “you need to join us because you are descendants of the Israelites God wants back in the fold” or any such clear declaration of the point. To the contrary, Paul repeatedly says the opposite, such as in 1 Corinthians 10:18-20, after having just given the Exodus tale of the Israelites as his teaching example:

Consider the Israel according to the flesh: Do not those who eat the sacrifices participate in the altar? Do I mean then that food sacrificed to an idol is anything, or that an idol is anything? No, but the sacrifices of pagans are offered to demons, not to God, and I do not want you to be participants with demons.

Here Paul makes plain the Corinthians are not Israelites, indeed “according to the flesh,” which remark supports Staples’ suspicion that Paul understands his Corinthian Gentiles to also be Israel but only according to the spirit. Thus Paul says they should look to the biological Israelites as an analogy to themselves, not as identical to themselves. Just as when Israelites (here depicted as a separate people from the Gentile Corinthians, not their ancestors) participate in the altar of Yahweh involve themselves with Yahweh, when Gentiles participate in the altar of false gods, they involve themselves with those false gods (meaning, demons). That Paul sees the two groups as separate, and thus only as material for an analogy between them, makes quite clear he did not believe the IO thesis; indeed, he’d never even heard of such a notion.

Example: Romans 5:13

One of the pillars of argument that IO rests on is the claim that “only Israelites were ‘imputed’ with sin” and therefore “there was simply no basis for Gentiles to be judged for violations of a law they were never given.” One of their “proof texts” is Romans 5:13, where Paul says, “To be sure, sin was in the world before the law was given, but sin is not charged against anyone’s account where there is no law.” But the argument here ignores the actual context of that verse, and thus Paul’s actual argument there. It also ignores the entire ancient context of how Judaism understood sin as warranting damnation in the first place.

Hey…want to know how Judaism understood sin as warranting damnation in the first place? Let’s read Paul! Here’s the verse immediately preceding Romans 5:13, verse 12: “Just as sin entered the world through one man, and death through sin, and in this way death came to all people, because all sinned.” Um. Doesn’t this say everyone descended from Adam—in other words, literally everyone—sins? And the punishment for doing so is: they die? Now, unless IO advocates can adduce evidence that only Israelites have ever in history died, they cannot maintain that only Israelites are punished for sin and thus that God imputes sin only to Israelites. So the IO tactic here of claiming Adam wasn’t “really” the first man and didn’t “really” die in Jewish or Pauline conception (which they assert on zero evidence, making this yet another illogical circular argument) is refuted not only by the entire OT narrative, but by all historical, biological fact as even understood in the time of Paul (much more so today). The Bible is rife with non-Israelites dying. In fact, basically, all of them (I mean, right?). And in no way did Paul believe non-Israelites don’t die (and thus “don’t” need to be rescued from death).

So the IO thesis can’t survive here. Paul’s entire argument is that everyone, not just Israelites, sins, and therefore everyone, not just Israelites, dies. And that’s the end of things. You stay dead. Unless you can convince God to resurrect you. And how do you do that? By entering into a contract with him. The original such contract was basically the following (at least as Jews in Paul’s day were teaching it): God laid out all the things that were bad (dubbed “the law”), so people knew what not to transgress so as not to sin, and they promised to abide by that, and in exchange someday He’d raise them from the dead and let them live forever in paradise. And not only that, but that law code included what to do if people transgressed the law, fulfilling which still constituted upholding the contract (look up “sin offerings” in Leviticus, e.g. Lev. 5).

Thus, it was not as if you transgressed, and then God canceled your contract with him. Rather, if you transgressed, you would submit (willingly or not) to the appointed punishments or atonement procedures, setting right the error, thus fulfilling, not canceling, the contract. By contrast, anyone not in the contract gets nothing. No eternal life for them. So you still have to enter the contract to get God’s promise to apply to you. And then God can impute specific violations of the law to you when you commit them, which you then must “pay for” to remain “in the contract.” No one else gets that consideration. They just stay dead.

There is therefore no sense whatever in saying “sin tout court is only imputed to the Jews.” Sin itself is imputed to everyone—the result of which is death. Exactly as Paul says; and he is there relating standard Jewish thought of the time, explicitly scriptural (Genesis 3:14-19 and Hosea 6:7; this was commonly based on the teaching that all human beings were under the Noachian law believed first delivered to Adam, failing to abide by which justified the Flood; or else as Paul’s Jewish contemporary Philo put it, the “natural law” inherent in the universe’s very design, cf. On Abraham 5-6). Note Paul is not stating Augustine’s doctrine of original sin, but the Jewish understanding that everyone who sins dies, because Adam and Eve broke a commandment of God. There were some “sinless” people in Jewish legend who never died, but the more typical lore was that no one was ever so righteous as that.

Hence Paul goes on to say:

To be sure, sin was in the world before the law was given, but sin is not charged against anyone’s account where there is no law. Nevertheless, death reigned from the time of Adam to the time of Moses, even over those who did not sin by breaking a command, as did Adam, who is a pattern of the one to come.

Romans 5:13-14

As Paul tells us, “the many died by the trespass of the one man,” hence by “the result of one man’s sin” (v. 15), that “brought condemnation…for all people,” not just Israelites (v. 18). Paul then adds that “the law was brought in so that the trespass might increase” (v. 20) not so that it would only then be created. Thus Romans 5 does not say “only Israelites sin.” It very clearly says the opposite: that everyone sins, and everyone is punished for it with death. This is the problem that the law (the covenant contract) was created to solve: if you don’t want to die (to be punished for your sins outside the law), you must subject yourself to a specific law code (complete with its designated punishments and atonements for specific crimes that can be imputed to you), in return for which God will resurrect you. No submitting to that law, no resurrection for you.

It is in this context that Paul argues you can skip that step and get God to agree to resurrect you by entering into a new contract, one that has a much simpler law and procedure to follow. But if you don’t enter into even that contract, eventually you will die, and forever stay dead. No resurrection for you. Salvation, not available. Because everyone sins, Paul says; and the wages of sin are death. So obviously anyone who dies, must have been able to sin. Otherwise they wouldn’t have died. IO theology makes no sense of this basic pillar of ancient Judeo-Christian soteriology.

How Romans Does IO In

These are not the only ways that Paul’s own statements refute the IO thesis. These are just incidental examples. Paul is even more explicit in Romans 9, where Paul engages an extensive discourse explaining quite explicitly that Gentiles were not Israelites, and thus he has to give an extended biblical apologetic for why their inclusion in the community of the saved makes any sense. What is his argument for including them? The one place where surely he would trot out the powerful IO thesis as that very defense (had it been the defense), he brings forth entirely the opposite argument. This is how we know Paul did not preach or believe the IO thesis.

Paul scours scripture for his justification, for example, and yet what he finds are not any passages he says declare Gentiles are lost Israelites. Instead he pulls Hosea 2:23 out of context to claim God had said “I will call them ‘my people’ who are not my people” (Romans 9:25). This is not what the author of Hosea meant—the IO crowd is at least correct to point out that Hosea meant fallen Israelites—but like all Christian apologists, who routinely use verses out of context (as even, ironically, the IO crowd do), Paul does not use this passage to make that argument at all. He instead employs it as an isolated declaration that Gentile Christians are not God’s people—and therefore not Israelites. So here, in the one place he needs the IO thesis to justify why Gentiles get a salvation promised only to the Israelites, where he could even have used Hosea to prove it, Paul fails to explain that as his justification. He instead takes that scripture out of context to construct a different justification that entails his rejection of the IO thesis. He chose not to argue IO. He chose to argue the opposite. You pretty much can’t get more refuted than that.

And though one might try to debate what Paul meant there in isolation, in context there is no way to escape this conclusion. For Paul had already declared in that same chapter:

It is not as though God’s word had failed. For not all who are descended from Israel are Israel. Nor because they are his descendants are they all Abraham’s children. On the contrary, “It is through Isaac that your offspring will be reckoned.” In other words, it is not the children by physical descent [lit. “children of the flesh”] who are God’s children, but it is the children of the promise who are regarded as Abraham’s offspring.

Romans 9:6-8

Here Paul is referring to the doctrine he elsewhere explains in Galatians 4, where Paul explicitly says these references to Abraham, Sarah, and Hagar, and the “promise” connecting them, are allegories for spiritual, not biological realities. Which is why he expands the original Christian creed, “so that he might redeem those under the law” in Galatians 4:5, with his own addition, “so that we might receive divine adoption as sons,” referring to Paul’s adoptionist soteriology, by which anyone can become an Israelite by adoption. And they can do so, he explains, by skipping “Hagar” (the Old Sinai Covenant) and being symbolically born “of Sarah” instead (the New Covenant of the Risen Jesus…and as the Hannibal character Mason Verger puts it, “No one beats the Riz”).

Thus here in Romans Paul explicitly repeats that same point: Gentile Christians are not saved because they are “children by physical descent” from any Israelites, quite simply because they are “not the children by physical descent” from any Israelites! Paul could not more plainly be refuting the IO thesis than this. His entire apologetic for why Gentiles can gain God’s salvation is to admit they don’t have any biological right to it at all, and then to argue that it’s by a spiritual mechanism they can gain that right (in particular, as I already explained, by entering into their own, new contract with Israel’s God—as that happens to be the only real God, so it’s the only way anyone can really be saved).

IO advocates will ignore these verses and take out of context and circularly reinterpret a verse two lines earlier, Romans 9:4, where Paul says of “the people of Israel” that “the adoption to sonship,” “the divine glory,” “the covenants,” “the receiving of the law,” “the temple worship,” and “the promises” are all “theirs,” by claiming that Paul must here be saying only “Israelites” can receive adoption (and thus baptism and thus be Christians). But Paul does not say these things “are only theirs.” He uses the relative pronoun, in the genitive hôs, “of whom, from whom,” meaning these things come from them, not are only available to them. But for Israel, we would not have access to them. That’s what Paul means. And we know that’s what he means by going on to read the next four verses where he says that’s what he means. As just demonstrated.

We see Paul attempting to make this make sense later in Romans 11, with an agricultural analogy:

I am talking to you Gentiles. … If some of the branches have been broken off, and you, though a wild olive shoot, have been grafted in among the others and now share in the nourishing sap from the olive root, do not consider yourself to be superior to those other branches. …

You will say then, ‘Branches were broken off so that I could be grafted in’. Granted. But they were broken off because of unbelief, and you stand by faith. … For if God did not spare the natural branches, he will not spare you either.

Consider therefore the kindness and sternness of God: sternness to those who fell, but kindness to you, provided that you continue in his kindness. Otherwise, you also will be cut off. And if they do not persist in unbelief, they will be grafted in, for God is able to graft them in again. After all, if you were cut out of an olive tree that is wild by nature, and contrary to nature were grafted into a cultivated olive tree, how much more readily will these, the natural branches, be grafted into their own olive tree!

Romans 11:13-24

This is where IO folks come up with some malarkey about “olive tree” always meaning “Israel,” using wild non sequiturs from disparate Bible verses that have nothing to do with what Paul says here. In fact Paul is here explicitly saying the opposite: this passage declares that Gentiles do not come from the same olive tree, but a different one. Thus there is not “one” olive tree, and it’s Israel. There are two olive trees, the “wild” one that constitutes non-Israelites, and the “cultivated” one that constitutes Israel (the people God originally chose to “cultivate”). And Paul says that by his gospel you can be cut from the wild tree (the Gentile tree) and be “grafted in” to the Israelite tree. You thus were not originally part of that tree and cut off to be grafted back in—to the contrary, Paul describes separately that there are also some Jews or Israelites who, having gone astray, can be grafted back in. But he clearly demarcates them as a separate group from the Gentiles who are grafted in from an alien tree, not back into the same tree. Paul even explicitly says these trees have never shared the same root; he thus cannot mean trees that were once united.

Paul’s whole discourse here is to humble Gentile Christians into not looking down their noses at fallen Israelites as if they were their superiors, torn away so foreigners could be “grafted in” in their place. For those fallen Israelites might also get back into the fold. And indeed, the Christian gospel, Paul is saying, is the easiest and surest way to do that. Indeed this passage is rife with clear statements that Gentile Christians are not Israelites:

  • “If God did not spare the natural branches, he will not spare you either.” So, “you” (the Gentile) are not a natural branch of Israel.
  • God showed “sternness to those who fell, but kindness to you.” So, “you” (the Gentile) are not the lost Israelites, “those who fell.”
  • “Provided that you continue in his kindness. Otherwise, you also will be cut off.” Which means you hadn’t already been cut off. Thus, “you” (the Gentile) are not a lost Israelite. You are a new addition to the Israelite tree. You could fall as they did; “so don’t.”
  • “If they do not persist in unbelief, they will be grafted in, for God is able to graft them in again.” Since “they” here means the lost Israelites (and all Israelites who have fallen away), Paul does not see “they” as being the same people as the “you” (the Gentile believer) he is addressing this argument to. Moreover, that only “they” can be “grafted in again,” whereas “you” (the Gentile) have yet to be grafted in at all (until baptism into Christ), entails Gentiles are not lost Israelites.
  • These, the natural branches,” will “be grafted into their own olive tree.” Again, not “your” olive tree (or even “our” olive tree); “their own” olive tree. Paul could not more clearly say Gentile Christians are not lost Israelites. They are entirely new additions to the Israelite tree; not “natural branches” to it cut away from it in the past.

Time and again, every one of these lines Paul would have written entirely differently had he meant the IO thesis. He therefore can’t have meant the IO thesis. In short, IO predicts Paul would have said things here that he didn’t; whereas the falsity of IO predicts Paul would have said exactly the things he here says. That’s how we know the IO thesis is false.

The entire Epistle to the Romans was written to heal a rift between Gentile and Jewish Christians in Rome, and is addressed to them both (see Romans 1), and argues extensively that Jews are as welcome as Gentiles into God’s Kingdom, and Gentiles are as welcome as Jews, and any conflict arising from haughty declarations that God has abandoned the Jews and has now turned his favor onto Gentiles should be staunched as resting on a false premise: that God ever abandoned the Israelites in the first place, and therefore that the Gentiles now allowed in are somehow “better” than Jews. This is precisely the one letter where Paul should be explicitly laying out the IO thesis in spades. And yet it is nowhere present. It is precisely the one argument Paul never makes to solve the dispute between the Jewish and Gentile Christians at Rome.

Instead, the arguments Paul does make here all entail the opposite of the IO thesis: desperate attempt after desperate attempt to give a justification for how non-Israelites can gain the salvation of the Israelite God, which in every case is to argue that biological descent doesn’t matter, that anyone can “enter into a covenant” with the Israelite God, and thus partake of “the promise” God once made to the actual Israelites. Hence, Paul says:

Scripture foresaw that God would justify the Gentiles by faith, and announced the gospel in advance to Abraham: “All nations will be blessed through you.” So those who rely on faith are blessed along with Abraham, the man of faith.

Galatians 3:8-9

Here Paul cannot mean Abraham was promised that all his progeny would be blessed, and then Abraham was promised 10/12ths of his progeny would “also” be blessed. That’s nonsensical. Paul clearly understands this verse he is quoting (Genesis 18:18) to be saying that all nations in addition to Abraham’s nation (the coming Israelites) will be blessed through him; and Paul is clearly deploying this verse to argue that non-Israelites can therefore receive Abraham’s blessing—through faith rather than by descent. This is exactly the opposite of what IO wants Paul to be arguing.

As I’ve already explained, this is really just one small step from what was already the case: Jews already agreed non-Israelites could join the Israelite covenant and thus be saved, by following the Torah conversion law; Paul is merely adding the tweak that one needn’t follow the Torah conversion law to do it, that baptism into Christ was sufficient to seal the deal—because it made you an adopted “son” of God and thus a legitimate “heir” to God’s future kingdom (Romans 8:14-16 and Galatians 3:26-29; cf. Romans 6:3-10 and 8:29). Paul would not have to argue you needed to be adopted into God’s kingdom, if he believed you had already by descent been born into it.

Paul often makes clear that Jews and Gentiles are different people, yet alike damned for their sin without a contract with God. So the role of being “under the Torah” doesn’t matter; nor could it, as I already explained: not being circumcised, “lost Israelites” would no more be subject to, and thus “under,” the Torah covenant than non-Israelites were. So the IO thesis literally makes no sense in historical context. The problem with Torah was not that it “created” sin (as if non-Israelites could never sin), but that it created a contract one had to follow to get a desired payout (salvation), but that contract was too hard to follow because everyone is a sinner—Israelite and non-Israelite alike. This is why Paul innovated the idea of turning the Christian gospel into a “new” contract offer, one that was easier to follow, and thus more easily gained the desired return (see Romans 7-8).

This is the context in which we must read what Paul plainly says:

  • “We have already made the charge that Jews and Greeks alike are all under the power of sin” (Romans 3:9). No mention of “because they are all Israelites” or “are (or once were) all subject to the Torah covenant.”
  • “There is no difference [between Jew and Gentile], for all have sinned and fall short of the glory of God, and all are justified freely by his grace through the redemption that came by Christ Jesus … to be received by faith,” not by birth (Romans 3:22-25). No mention of there being “no difference” between Jew and Gentile because they are both Isrealites, but rather because Jesus saves both—exactly the opposite of the IO thesis: as this boon comes, he says, by faith, not by common descent.

IO advocates will attempt the fallacy of circular argument to “reinterpret” all these verses as saying exactly the opposite of what they say, in order to then declare they say exactly the opposite of what they say, and therefore “Paul never says” what these verses plainly say. This is the stock and trade of any crank methodology. The rest of us just listen to what Paul actually said, no convoluted twisting of his words required, much less circular logic.

The same happens when we look at Romans 2:13-15:

For it is not those who hear the law who are righteous in God’s sight, but it is those who obey the law who will be declared righteous. (Indeed, when Gentiles, who do not have the law, do by nature things required by the law, they are a law for themselves, even though they do not have the law. They show that the requirements of the law are written on their hearts, their consciences also bearing witness, and their thoughts sometimes accusing them and at other times even defending them.)

This does not say that Gentiles have the law “written in their hearts” because they had some long distant Israelite ancestor who “once” was under the law. It says they do not have the law. Period. They are not under that law. And yet still sin. The logic is clear as I already pointed out: everyone is damned—because everyone is a sinner. It is not that “only” those “under the law” are sinners, but that by agreeing to be under that law (by ritual initiation into the polity of Israel), one can try to minimize one’s sin by adhering to the law, and in return God will give you eternal life. It’s just that that’s difficult, so it’s a hard road to that reward; hence Paul contrived an easier contract out of the new Christian gospel. He is not looking for lost Israelites; he is looking for non-Israelites willing to join the Israelite polity, which they could always do, through a ritual initiation into Judaism. Paul’s offer is simply of a new and easier initiation: baptism, rather than circumcision; then following the spirit of the law, rather than the letter. There is nothing here of the IO thesis.

Does Any of It Survive Independent Expert Peer Review?

Another typical crank move is to scour the academic literature for any obscure article that might sound like what they want to argue, and then trumpet that as “their” thesis having passed peer review, and since “anything” that passes peer review can be assumed to be “true,” so is their thesis (never mind that they themselves reject almost all peer reviewed results in the field as false; consistency, alas, is the hobgoblin of cranked minds). They do this at least once: they will cite a paper published in an obscure Christian theology journal with words like “Israel Only” in its thesis: “Only Israel! John 3:16 Revisited” by J.E. Botha & Pieter Rousseau HTS Teologiese Studies 61.4 (2005).

However, that paper solely argues that a single popular verse only in the Gospel of John (the infamous 3:16) was only directed at the Jews (and not Israelites in IO parlance). Indeed, Botha and Rousseau do not say this verse excluded non-Israelites. Rather, their thesis is merely that it was “meant as a sorely needed exhortation…of a specific and identifiable group of Christians to remain faithful to Jesus,” and not a claim that only they could be saved. Their thesis also does not mention anything about lost tribes of Israel, or kosmos (world) “always” meaning only Israel, or John being written before the year 70, or Christianity being concluded, or any other essential IO proposition—in fact these authors outright denounce the IO thesis: “Christians can still with confidence say, and believe, that God sent his Son to this world to save those who believe in Him,” Botha and Rousseau say, it’s just that “John 3:16 should not and cannot be used” to prove that. I also think their argument for even that limited hypothesis is a bit weak. But it doesn’t matter, because it’s not the IO thesis.

Another paper sometimes mentioned is S.M. Lyman’s expert peer reviewed work in “The Lost Tribes of Israel as a Problem in History and Sociology” for the International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society 12.1 (1998). But he only describes modern IO-like movements; he does not argue their views are a correct description of ancient Christianity (indeed, he opens by explicitly pointing out that that’s unlikely). Likewise, Richard Horsley has argued that Torah observant Jews in ancient Galilee may have been descendants of some of the lost tribes; but this still isn’t the IO thesis. By contrast, actual expert peer reviewed studies of what the word “Gentile” actually meant in ancient Judaism and early Christianity—e.g. Goy: Israel’s Multiple Others and the Birth of the Gentile by Adi Ophir and Ishay Rosen-Zvi—don’t support any weird take pushed in defense of IO.

The closest thing to a peer-reviewed quasi-IO thesis is Jason Staples’ expert peer reviewed work in “What Do the Gentiles Have to Do with ‘All Israel’?” for JBL 130.2 (2011) and his subsequent Chapel Hill dissertation supervised by Bart Ehrman, “Reconstructing Israel: Restoration Eschatology in Early Judaism and Paul’s Gentile Mission” (2016). But Staples does not defend any of the particular propositions of IO; to the contrary, he argues that Paul thought “that his gentile converts are actually becoming transformed, ethnic Israelites, complete with circumcisions not performed with human hands” (“Reconstructing,” p. 590). As Staples puts it in comments on Bart Ehrman’s blog (on 29 July 2020): “I don’t think there’s strong evidence that the gentile converts imagined themselves as biological descendants of Jacob” but only as having “become such by receiving the spirit.”

That means Paul’s gospel would still apply to everyone today, contrary to the IO doctrine—indeed, even on the “biological” view, as a lot of us could still claim Israelite ancestors somewhere in our past (not only do we still have fifteen million Jews around, but countless millions more probably have an Israelite ancestor somewhere in their family tree, had they full knowledge of its every member) and even those who can’t, can expect to be “grafted in” to Israel after the fact and thus become Israelites, spiritually, just as Paul, and Staples, argue—because all that is required for that to correspond to God’s intention is that you want to do that. Which countless people today do. No claim can be made that “hardness of heart” has barred everyone today from desiring it—for Christianity remains quite popular. So Staples’ thesis actually destroys the entire IO program. It does not support it.

I’m not entirely convinced by everything Staples argues, but that hardly matters to the present point. In hundreds of pages, Staples never presents any passage anywhere in Paul actually saying his Gentile converts were physical descendants of Israelites; and as I’ve shown, there are several passages in Paul that explicitly say they weren’t. Which is why Staples states his thesis as that Paul thought his “gentile converts are actually becoming transformed, ethnic Israelites,” rather than already being so. Which I think is closer to correct. “Metaphysically” speaking, that is what Paul believed: that by accepting adoption as a Son of God through baptism, you become an Israelite; but he meant that in the same way the Exodus law of conversion did. Hence this did not require (as Paul clearly indicates) any actual biological ancestry connecting you to Israel.

To what extent Paul would have imagined the “physics” of this is beyond our capacity to know (and probably Paul’s—after all, he knew nothing of genetics or any relevant scientific facts of biology). But it’s clear Paul did not believe God “transmutated the flesh” of Gentiles into Israelite flesh; for he repeatedly calls the joining process a legal adoption, not a physical transmutation. But that’s precisely the problem for IO. You don’t need to be adopted if you are already in the family by descent. Paul’s adoptionism for the faithful is therefore in and of itself a rejection of the IO thesis.

Goofing the Bible

Another signature of being cranks is that the IO crowd abandons mainstream scholarship altogether, routinely behaving as if “the Bible” (Old Testament and New) was all written by one author with a coherent singular agenda and belief system, rather than (as in fact) numerous authors with often competing agendas and belief systems and different vocabularies and understandings, often generations or even centuries apart, indeed often through multiple redactions and textual distortions as well. Which leads them to act with face-palming naivety, such as actually thinking that when Acts has Paul say something, that means Paul actually said it (he probably didn’t; Acts is a late fictional work of historical revisionism). They also don’t know (or simply deny, or speciously gainsay) basic facts of the field like that 1 Thessalonians 2:15-16 is widely concluded to be a post-Pauline, indeed deliberately antisemitic, interpolation—and thus not usable to reflect the thoughts or ideas of Paul or any of the first generation of Christians. Indeed (being, oddly, Preterists) they reject many well-established facts of the field, like that most of the New Testament was written after 70 A.D., as that fact pretty much refutes any notion that its message didn’t apply after that.

In another signature of crankery, IO advocates sometimes use evidence in a way that looks rather dishonest—and that can only be honest if hopelessly delusional. For example, some will argue that “beyond the Euphrates” includes the Asia Minor of Paul’s mission (now Turkey) when the first century Jewish author Josephus (himself a Rabbi of the temple priesthood and provincial governor of Galilee) reports the then-popular Jewish belief that the lost ten tribes of Israel all reside “beyond the Euphrates.” But that is absolutely ruled out by what he actually says: “there are two tribes in Asia and Europe governed by the Romans, while the other ten tribes are on the other side of the Euphrates up to the present day” (Antiquities of the Jews 11.133).

Thus Josephus plainly says the ten tribes are not in Asia Minor, nor anywhere under the Roman Empire, but on the other side of the Euphrates—in other words, east of the Empire. There is no evidence this belief was true; Josephus is only reporting popular lore (which we already find in 2 Kings 17:23 and 2 Esdras 13:39-49). But that that was the popular lore presents a problem for the IO thesis: if even Josephus, like Paul “a Pharisee of Pharisees,” did not think any lost Israelites were in the Roman Empire, we cannot simply assume Paul did. It’s thus telling that IO advocates will choose to hide this uncomfortable fact by quoting Josephus only partially and then declaring he said the opposite of what in fact he said—evidently expecting no one to check. Another example of this tactic is when they claim the Epistle of James, which is written to “the twelve tribes in the diaspora,” proves their thesis; but that author is referring to Torah observant Jews (a fact James repeatedly presumes without argument: James 2:8-10 & 4:11-12), not unobservant (or even pagan) descendants of Israelites; so in fact James does not support IO. But again one would have to check these facts to notice. This is the kind of behavior I often encounter from cranks of all varieties.

But most of all they suck—really suck—at reading Biblical languages. Indeed, IO proponents routinely ignore the actual context of verses, both historical context (like when they “forget” that Hebrews is a letter written to Jewish Christians, not all Christians) and textual context, while falsely claiming to be the only ones attending to it. For instance, they will make outlandish claims such as that anywhere in the Bible that they decide—in every book, Old Testament and New—a word for “mankind” actually means Israelites, not every human being. And they will defend such claims with wildly false assertions like “Isaiah 2:6 begins by talking about Israel” and yet “by verse 20, Israel is called ‘mankind’,” and “therefore” we can assume ‘mankind’ means Israel anywhere else in the Bible they need it to. That’s not true in any version of the Bible; nor is that how any competent literary analysis works.

In Hebrew, the word they are talking about here is adam, which just means person. It does not have the valence of the English word “mankind.” It’s closer to our word “people,” which is not innately totalizing. If you say “People will stop supporting Trump someday” you are not talking about all human beings (most of whom already don’t support Trump); nor does that mean “people” magically now only means Trump supporters. Yet IO depends on just that kind of incompetent linguistic hackwork.

Which can be pretty funny. For example, throughout Exodus 9 the Hebrew text speaks of the plagues of God befalling adam, “men”—yet clearly that means non-Israelites. Without a fallacious circular argument to “rescue” them here, the IO advocate’s incompetent linguism would force them into the awkward position of having to insist God set the ten plagues of Egypt only on the Israelites, which paints quite a humorous picture if you are familiar with the actual story and its intended point. Moses threatens Pharaoh by throwing ten plagues on the Jews, while all Egyptians remain unscathed? Pharaoh would be laughing his ass off at Moses. Indeed, he’d already be justifiably perplexed even if those plagues struck everyone—Jew and Egyptian alike. The whole point of them was that they spared Israel (Exodus 9:4, 9:26, 12:12-13, etc.). Thus adam does not always mean “mankind” nor always means “Israel.” It can only mean one or the other, or any number of other things, if context establishes that it does. And it just doesn’t in any way relevant to proving the IO thesis.

IO proponents also try to pretend there is no difference between Greek and Hebrew. The most popular Greek translation of Isaiah 2:20 renders adam with anthrôpos—singular. Throughout ancient Greek, anthrôpos only meant “mankind” when it is given in the plural. In the singular, in a construction like we find here, it means, “In that day, one will throw away his idols,” again with “his” (autou) in the singular (literally: “In that day, a man will throw away his idols,” not “mankind will” nor “every man” will). So even the ancient Jewish rabbinical experts on their own Hebrew text did not imagine adam meant “Israelites.” It refers to Israelites here simply because that’s what is being talked about. Hence they translated adam here not with “mankind shall” but with the generic “one shall,” which means they used it in the same way I just used “people” to refer to Trump supporters. It’s like my saying “One ought to abandon Trump,” meaning those who happen to support Trump by obvious context, not because the word “one” only ever refers to Trump supporters.

I should not have to be explaining rudimentary grammar like this. But alas.

It’s only worse that IO proponents also apparently don’t even know what the underlying texts actually say. Like when they insist that “in Ephesians 2:3, ‘mankind’ is used to refer to Old Covenant Israel” since “the entire context of Ephesians 2 is talking about the Israelite diaspora.” Pro tip: the word ‘mankind’ is not in Ephesians 2:3. Or in fact anywhere in the whole second chapter of Ephesians (the singular anthrôpos is found only once, in verse 15, where it simply means “a man,” not mankind).

Aiming to find out how the IO folks could possibly have thought “mankind” was “in Ephesians 2:3,” I checked the Bible Hub parallels and found that only one translation, the English Standard Version, puts that word in there. But if you follow that link and compare translations, you’ll see this was just a modern translator taking license, creatively rendering the actual word for “the rest” (hoi loipoi, “the others, those remaining, those left over”), which would mean the other people who hadn’t found Christ—or the other Jews who hadn’t given up Torah, on the IO assumption that Ephesians 2 is talking about Jews (it isn’t, but never mind; it’s also, BTW, a forgery). So the IO advocates didn’t even think to check their claim against standard translations of the Bible, much less the actual Greek being translated. Ironically, this example also shows they were misled by a modern Christian distortion of the Bible, one that would thus be erasing the very Jewish context of the verse they want to claim here. In the original language, that error isn’t there, making their own argument a double error. Oi vey.

IO ignorance extends beyond knowing nothing about Greek or Hebrew or even how to check a text or translation, to include even entry-level historical understanding. Or else outright denying reality. For instance, Michael Bradley has tried to argue that because “mankind” in the Bible “always” (when they need it to) means only “Israelites” (by such illogical arguments as I just surveyed), “therefore” when Acts 17 imagines Paul claiming to the Athenians that “from one man God made all the nations” Paul is only talking about the twelve tribes of Israel (scattered across the world though they may be). But every competent reader of this text knows:

  1. Paul is here referring to God creating Adam, the first man, from whom all men are descended—not just Israelites. (IO advocates try arguing the entirety of Genesis is all just an allegory for Israel and therefore “Adam” is nowhere in the Bible said to be the father of all men; a claim so wildly improbable it can only be called delusional.)
  2. Paul is here depicted as speaking to, and of, all the Athenians, not a select hidden few of them who per chance were lost Israelite descendants. (IO advocates simply gainsay this, on a basis of no evidence whatever.)
  3. And Paul is being made here to deliberately echo Stoic teachings of a united humanity, as he is essentially repeating their doctrine that all men on earth belong to a common humanity by virtue of all being fathered by God, and thus are all fellow citizens of the world—a doctrine well known at Athens (and a fact in turn well known to the author of Acts), where the very “stoa” were that the “Stoics” held their classes. In fact, these framed the Athenian agora—and Acts places Paul exactly there. It would make absolutely no sense to reread this passage as saying exactly the opposite of all that. The historical context is clear, and clearly intentional; while the context IO needs to be here, isn’t.

Even the old Expositor’s commentary gets all this. That Bradley doesn’t know or believe any of it is, well, why he isn’t qualified to be doing Biblical exegesis. IO advocates hold all actual expertise, all real peer reviewed research, all expert evidence-based philology, in open contempt. Which is another red flag for crankery. But worse than simply denouncing all real experts as ignorant in order to elevate literal incompetence into the status of authority, is that they won’t even acknowledge plain, indisputable facts: what Acts never has Paul say in his speech to “the Athenians” is that there are lost or fallen Israelites in the crowd who are the only ones he is attempting to reach, or that he is “only” talking about some men descended from Adam, not all of them; or anything particular to the IO thesis.

It’s also important not just to know basic things like these (which the IO crowd doesn’t know, or circularly rejects because it contradicts their thesis—making theirs not even undergraduate level work), but also more esoteric things (of the sort graduate schools exist to teach you to know or find out first before spouting radical new theories in any academic field). For instance, some will notice that Paul is here made to echo Deuteronomy 32, “When the Most High gave the nations their inheritance, when he divided all mankind, he set up boundaries for the peoples according to the number of the sons of Israel,” and then, “the Lord’s portion is his people, Jacob his allotted inheritance.” But this is a textual corruption. When the author of Acts was composing his Athenian speech for Paul, the text of Deuteronomy did not say that. It said “sons of God” or “angels of God” (phrases often then treated as synonymous), not “sons of Israel” (as we know, for example, from the Dead Sea Scrolls, and the Greek Septuagint text that Acts actually employed as its base text, as was well as abundant other evidence).

Which means this verse in Deuteronomy, that the author of Acts is having Paul allude to, was then understood to be referring to Genesis 10, which catalogues God apportioning the whole world to seventy nations with, eventually, their seventy languages (and from only one of those nations—Shem—did Israel descend); and to each of which God appointed an angel as overseer. Hence, in the text that existed when the New Testament was composed, Deuteronomy 32 meant these seventy nations (the whole population of earth), from among which “the Lord” selected the people “of Jacob as his allotted inheritance.” So the author of Acts clearly was not depicting Paul talking only about Israelites, but all of humanity.

But, alas, attending to historical facts like these is not IO’s “thing.”

The Masked Man Fallacy at the Heart of IO

Amusingly, I do think a cornerstone aspect of the IO doctrine that Staples and Botha and every other actual expert rejects—that God already “collected” all the Israelites he predestined to be saved as of 70 A.D., and therefore the door to heaven has been closed ever since—is caused by a masked man fallacy. Which is neat, because that’s such a rare fallacy it’s hard to adduce examples to teach it by. But the irrational IO crowd have given us one. Huzzah!

There are many passages one can adduce showing that Paul believed the world would end soon—clearly, as I’ve noted, during his lifetime. So all his talk about God “bringing in the fullness of the Gentiles” before securing the share of Jews likewise to be saved relates to that belief. Which was in his conception “the end of the era,” to be followed by a new era of eternal paradise—not continuing on with an era still ruled by death. IO, being Preterist, then interjects the belief (which could never have been accessible to Paul) that “the end Paul was talking about really happened in 70 A.D.” But that is not what Paul thought. The world did not end then—it’s lasted thousands more years.

Thus when Paul spoke of everything “coming to fruition” at “the end of the era” he believed that meant in his lifetime the chosen would ascend to heaven, immortal, while the corrupted lower cosmos was dissolved (he’s pretty clear on this: 1 Corinthians 15:51-52; 1 Thessalonians 4:15-17; and 1 Corinthians 15:23-26). Descendants of Israelites would not continue to propagate, filling the undisturbed lower cosmos with billions more people facing eternal death and no chance of escape, ruining God’s promise to award that to all willing to come in. That would have horrified Paul—and certainly inspired him to change his thinking. He would then conclude the era was not soon to end. For Paul, the end meant death itself would be abolished from the universe, and all that would remain is the immortal faithful, sucked into space to reside there forever (Ibid. and cf. 2 Corinthians 5:1-5 & 12:1-4).

The fallacy then is when the IO crowd come in, start with one proposition, “Paul believed the era* would end in his lifetime or shortly thereafter,” add another proposition, “We believe the era** ended in 70 A.D.,” and conclude everything Paul said about the era* Paul also meant to be true about the era**. But era* and era** are not the same thing in Paul’s conception. He meant an actual end of the world, leaving no people left God would ever elect to save. He did not mean what the Preterists mean, which is in effect a thousands-years-long “post-era*” filled with billions of the inescapably damned who were thereby permanently abandoned by God as of 70 A.D. Paul would never have signed off on such a proposition. Paul and IO just aren’t meaning the same thing by “end of the era.” Paul was simply mistaken about when his idea of the end of the era was to come. It then becomes a masked man fallacy to assume the contrary, that Paul intended the Preterist-IO nightmare all along.

Bogus Falsification Conditions

So it’s pretty clear IO is false. I’ve solidly shown it has no claim to any appreciable probability. Its advocates are incompetent, its arguments factually inaccurate, and its conclusions supported by no actual evidence, but more usually refuted by it. It simply isn’t what any early Christians ever taught. It’s thus curious that, taking another page from the crank’s playbook, IO advocates ignore all the facts I just related, and instead contrive bogus falsification conditions, things they insist we “have” to prove to disprove their thesis, which really we don’t.

To this end IO fanatic Michael Bradley has insisted that “to disprove IO” one would have to show “from the scriptures” that:

  • Non-Israelite nations had and were under the law and were imputed with sin thereby;
  • Non-Israelite nations were to be judged at the end of the age on the same basis as Israel;
  • Non-Israelites were ever referred to as an olive tree;
  • Non-Israelites were part of Christ’s New Covenant;
  • …and the need for the gospel was expected to extend past the end of the age.

“To date,” Bradley says, “no one has been able to do any of those.” Not surprisingly, as few of these things are even relevant to disproving IO. He has gotten the original context and Christian preaching so wrong that he doesn’t even correctly apprehend what would refute him. Only two of the propositions he claims we have to maintain to deny IO are even true: that Non-Israelites were called an “olive tree” (Paul says they are the wild olive tree, while Israelites are the cultivated olive tree, and that they did not share the same root); and that Non-Israelites (those “not” of Israel “by physical descent”) were (or rather, could be, if they chose to be) part of Christ’s New Covenant. And that was only true after Paul invented a convoluted way to argue that; it was not a component of the original Christian gospel. In the original Gospel, as Paul himself attests, the only way a Gentile could be saved was to become an Israelite (by the Exodus rule of physical conversion to enter the covenant). And as we saw, how Paul argued Gentiles could be saved without doing that did not require anyone preaching or believing any of the other propositions Bradley lists.

Likewise, the reason “the need for the gospel was not expected to extend past the end of the age” was not because they believed in the weird magical IO timetable, but for the simple reason that no one among them expected the world to still be here two thousand years later. They didn’t even expect it to be here a hundred years later. So confident were the earliest Christians on this point that they made no plans whatsoever for what to do about the gospel should that not occur. Indeed, the entire Sermon on the Mount is based on the belief that everything will end so soon there is no need to risk sinning by suing anyone or resisting them robbing, killing, or enslaving you.

So the reason the earliest Christians never talk about those contingency plans is because they never imagined they needed to. As Paul implies, in alignment with any other apocalyptic Jew of his time claiming the end was nigh, the world was to be vaporized in his lifetime. Full stop. And all faithful Christians, dead or alive, were to be sucked up into outer space and become invincible re-embodied supermen (1 Thessalonians 4:15-17, 1 Corinthians 15:35-54, 2 Corinthians 5:1-5). Paul doesn’t explicitly discuss the corresponding destruction of the earth, but it’s clearly implied in his timetable at 1 Corinthians 15:23-26, and it’s a standard in OT and NT texts, e.g. 2 Peter 3:3-11 and Hebrews 1:10-12, quoting the apocalyptic Psalm 102:25-27; and there is no evidence Paul would have thought differently, particularly as indicated by his expectation that we needed to fly off the planet to be saved (1 Thessalonians 4:15-17).

In Paul’s conception, everyone not saved would simply be left behind, abandoned to the grave or even disintegrated, never to live again (or suffer some kind of eternal torment in hell; but Paul himself appears to have been an annihilationist: he thought the unsaved merely stayed dead; only the saved awake to new life). Why would anyone who believed all this need to discuss what to do if that didn’t happen? Doing so would suggest they were wrong to believe it will, and that would shake their faith too severely to even contemplate. So they didn’t. (And this is why every generation of Christians since has convinced themselves the world would end in their lifetimes—conveniently ignoring that this never happens: see A History of the End of the World and The Encyclopedia of Apocalypticism.)

The same befalls every other proposition Bradley incorrectly thinks has to be true for IO to be false. At no point did Paul’s inclusion of Gentiles involve believing or preaching that they “had and were under the law,” but rather, he preached they had to enter into a contract (a “covenant”) with God to be saved, and he merely offered them a different one than the Jews (and the original Christians among them) had already signed onto. Paul taught that everyone gets annihilated—they all stay dead—everyone, period—except those who “enter into an agreement” with God to “inherit” eternal life instead.

Thus, Paul did not preach or believe Gentile Christians were “already” Israelites; rather, he specifically taught that they weren’t (they were “not” Israel “according to the flesh” at all), and therefore they needed a different contract to “get in on the investment” as it were, an investment theretofore only available to Jews—through their old contract, which Paul repeatedly affirms was still good (it was not canceled), just really hard to make good on without considerable suffering. Hence Paul only spoke of “grafting” non-Israelites into the Israelite olive tree spiritually, not biologically. Thus he referred to Gentiles not as the Israelite olive tree but as grafts into the Israelite olive tree. He is so explicit about this the IO position is wholly refuted thereby.

Conclusion

I can predict the IO response to all this (and just watch: it will happen in comments below), because I have dealt with cranks like this for decades. Circular argument, possibiliter fallacies, false facts we can expect for sure. But the standard crank response to being refuted is to throw up a gigantic word wall filled with hundreds or thousands of dubious claims, and then “insist” that if you can’t address and refute every single one of them, you’ve “lost,” and they are right and can go on haughtily pronouncing their crank nonsense. This is hopelessly irrational. The very attempt to respond that way proves they are cranks. We do not have to respond to every single one of their thousands and thousands of bullshit claims. We’ve caught them out in enough errors here to know anything else they say is simply not worth our time—being, quite probably, outright false, or not capable of proving their thesis even when correct.

The fact is, as with all the original Christians, Paul clearly and simply taught that if you don’t have a contract with God to get resurrected, you stay dead; and that at the end of the age even death would cease to exist in the world, and only those resurrected would live on, in a celestial paradise. There is no sense in which any of them thought this contract offer would have “ended” in 70 A.D. Nor is there any sense in which they would have imagined anyone could be resurrected without it. This alone destroys the IO thesis.

It’s just all the worse that their made-up claim that Paul (and the earliest Christians) were not offering this resurrection contract to non-Israelites is provably false—it requires assumptions contrary to the evidence, and thus too improbable for any competent person to credit. The original Christian faction (represented, e.g., in Matthew, Revelation, and James) insisted that to inherit eternal life non-Israelites had to become Israelites physically, by the old Exodus rule; while others (beginning with Paul, and from which all modern Christianity derives) said this could be accomplished with a new, more “spiritual” contract, so that even those who were “not the children” of Israel “by physical descent” could become so by being “grafted in” to Israel from outside it, by “adoption.” But either way, all agreed: in all times and places, anyone not in a contract with God is damned. That won’t be a comfort to any Christian desparate to live forever.

-:-

Handy Key to Crank Arguments in the Comments:

Circular Argument: Merely presuming some claim you are making about a text or fact is true (e.g. “When Paul said x, he meant y“), without any evidence of that actually being the case, and then using that presumption as if it were an established fact to argue the claim you are making is true. In formal terms, introducing improbable assumptions into an argument without commuting that improbability to the conclusion as logic requires.

Possibiliter Fallacy: Arguing “possibly x, therefore probably x,” i.e. arguing that something is “possible” (as in “logically” possible, such as being merely “consistent” with some piece of evidence), and then somewhere in the ensuing handwaving transforming that claim into having proved that thing probable, without presenting any evidence that it is.

False Fact: A false claim to fact, whether about what the underlying Greek or Hebrew words or grammar mean (“False Language”), or what a sentence means in its actual context (“False Context”), or what actually happened or was done or thought by some person or group in antiquity (“False History”), or what was actually in the text of some book at the time (“False Text”).

Non Sequitur: A claim that some statement being true “proves” any pertinent point (in, for example, the IO thesis), when in fact its being true does not prove or even argue for that conclusion at all. It’s irrelevant. The statement might also be false; but in this case that simply won’t matter, so there will be no need to waste any time fact-checking it.

Genetic Fallacy: “You’re biased, therefore you’re wrong.” This is a form of non sequitur: the conclusion does not follow from the premise even if the premise is true. You have to actually present evidence they are wrong before you can ever claim they are. Hence anyone who uses this argument is thereby revealing they have no actual response to what was said, and are hoping no one notices that, by trying to divert attention to meaningless complaints about “bias” (a classic “change the subject” avoidance tactic; it rarely has any value in honest, evidence-based reasoning).

False Charge: Claiming some argument made is fallacious, when it isn’t, or that it commits some particular fallacy, when it doesn’t. This is a common crank tactic. Often it is deployed without presenting any evidence of a fallacy committed. Sometimes it is defended with False Facts, i.e. the argument is misrepresented, and fallacies found in the fake argument thus invented, rather than the actual one (commonly known as a “Straw Man”). Ironically, so fond of this fallacy are cranks, that they will even claim False Charge when a fallacy called out is real (a false charge of false charge!).

Word Wall: A shady rhetorical tactic, of deploying a massive quantity of claims aiming to “shotgun” an opponent by making vetting and thus productively responding to everything said impossible for want of time. This can be as a trick to hide numerous other fallacies and false claims, by burying them in a massive array of words, making them too difficult to call them all out (or sometimes even discern what they are), and then claiming that if they aren’t all answered, the proponent “wins” the debate—which is never true; that’s not how logic works.

Motte and Bailey: A shady rhetorical tactic, of making a bold and highly dubious claim, and then when evidence against it is presented, retreating to a different, much weaker and less relevant claim and pretending you only ever were making that argument. Then resuming the original argument after you think enough time or words have passed that no one will notice. Also known as “Whack-a-Mole,” anyone deploying this tactic is by that very fact proving their dishonesty or irrationality. (See Disarming the Motte and Bailey in Cultural Discourse.)

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