Antinatalism is the view that the human race should let itself go extinct; more particularly, it should do so because that outcome is “better”; and therefore having children is immoral (there is a decent entry on this in the Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy; it even has a Wikipedia page). I’ve been asked about it a lot and critiqued it in comments on various other articles. Here I’ll assemble and polish all those remarks into one reply, and address a defense of it sometimes overlooked, Christopher Belshaw’s “A New Argument for Anti-Natalism,” in the South African Journal of Philosophy 31.1 (2012): 117-27. I recently sat in on a Q&A in which Belshaw was tasked by several experts to defend his thesis, and he pretty much couldn’t. His view was based on hidden premises even he couldn’t articulate a defense of, and incoherencies even he couldn’t give a rational solution to. This is typical of the view.

Incoherence

Antinatalism holds that being alive causes suffering, such that not being alive is better. This entails killing everyone, and yourself. To try and avoid this consequence, as antinatalists do, with an equivocation fallacy, like “suicide and murdering billions causes suffering; therefore we ought not commit suicide or exterminate people,” only proves the point. They are contradicting themselves. If becoming dead is suffering, then how can being dead be better than being alive? The only reason one can ever coherently be against mass suicide is to admit that staying alive is better than being dead. But that renounces the entire premise that antinatalism is built on. What we are left with is incoherent nonsense.

If being dead actually was better than being alive, we should all seek death, and indeed give everyone death. It’s the only humane thing to do. Right? Antinatalism is really just a whitewashed Cthulhu cult. And there is no way to get around this consequence. Because it absolutely requires defending the premise “being alive causes enough suffering such that not being alive is better.” Yet this cannot be defended if you then import a new premise with a conflicting utility function, that “being alive does not cause enough suffering such that not being alive is better.” Hence saying “making people dead causes more suffering than letting them live” simply is a refutation of the antinatalist’s own premise. Because “being alive does not cause enough suffering such that not being alive is better” is literally the denial of “being alive causes enough suffering such that not being alive is better.” Death is the absence of all pain. So the only reason death can ever be bad is that it ends something good. Which requires admitting life is not only good, but so good as to warrant outlawing death. So the antinatalist has set themselves a doomed project. They want a certain outcome (to have their cake and eat it too: being against all having of kids and being against genocide and suicide), but there is simply no logically coherent way to get that outcome. Yes, they will haul out much hand waving and harrumphing in attempts to deny this and stick to their self-contradiction. But what we never get in those desperate flailings is facts or logic.

Of course, one could bite the bullet, hail Cthulhu, and admit antinatalism does entail killing everyone and yourself, and start giving marching orders. That it has that outcome does not make it false. Maybe it’s true. Maybe we should hail Cthulhu and destroy the world. But that antinatalists recoil in horror at that conclusion calls into question the truth of their entire premise. In their very revulsion to this they reveal that even they don’t really believe that being dead is better than being alive. So you have to question what they are really on about. Their motives are clearly not rational. Which leaves something else.

Factually False Premises

It’s not just that all antinatalists are contradicting themselves. The truth of antinatalism not only requires that it be internally coherent (and indeed, so far, its proponents can never give us a coherent version of it); it is also contingent on the facts. We could contrive a dystopian fiction in which antinatalism would be a correct stance (some already have; it’s been explored in fiction more than once). But fiction is by definition false. And false is false. And a false premise gets you a false conclusion, when the conclusion can only be true when that premise is true, as is the case here. The antinatalist needs it to be true that being dead is better than being alive. But it factually isn’t.

You and I can directly observe that’s false for us and nearly everyone we know. But we don’t need anecdotes. We know this for a scientific fact. Just read the latest World Happiness Report. Mapped results show that life only becomes inadequately happy because of poor social conditions that have been (and therefore, can always be) solved with moral human action. There is no sense in which “all humans always everywhere” are more miserable alive than dead. To the contrary, progress on this metric in the last several centuries proves we have an arc already well beyond that, and getting further every decade (Pinker; Shermer; Zuckerman), and with endless potential (see How Not to Live in Zardoz; where I even describe a condition—in no way obtaining now—in which having children would be immoral, but only because we could then create new people without making them children, which illustrates that as human civilization increases the available options, antinatalism looks even more ridiculous). The argument that “all these people” are mistaken about their own subjective feelings and are therefore “wrong” to say they like being alive is pseudoscientific bullshit. There only is how they feel. To say someone is biased toward liking their life is nonsensical. Liking a thing and being biased toward it are the same thing. So you can’t spin them as opposites. That someone can be subjectively wrong in their feelings due to false beliefs or bad reasoning is true, but not equivalent to having no access to satisfaction-states; once you find that satisfaction states are objectively accessible, well, you have satisfaction-states. And that’s all we need. (For a more thorough destruction of this attempt to gaslight the entire planet, see the second half of the Artir critique.)

We could cherry-pick past historical points, and present sub-groups, where we can find the exceptional block to accessible satisfaction states that antinatalism requires be the case for everyone. But those exceptions prove the rule: they are conditional. And when something is conditional, it goes away when you remove the condition. Sure, you can remove it with death. But you can usually remove it without death. And between those two options, any objective intelligence will get you to the result that doing it without death is always better (see The Objective Value Cascade). Quite simply, you have two options: one with zero net utility (zero consciousness, zero pleasure, zero choice, zero degrees of freedom), and one with considerable net utility (consciousness, pleasure, choice, degrees of freedom). Imagine yourself in either state. Which, once in that state, would you prefer? The answer is obvious to all but the irrational.

So the exceptional states don’t make the case for antinatalism. They make the case, rather, for ending the conditions creating those exceptional states. For example, American Antebellum slaves could have opted to merely stop eating and died (for a zero probability of a nonzero outcome), or even took the more logical gamble (a nonzero probability of a nonzero outcome) and risk dying taking up arms to effect their escape—and some did. There were escaped slaves, and there were slave rebellions. And there were many who died trying. The main reason so many slaves opted out of those solutions was their failure to realize that “death or freedom” was actually a better optimization of their satisfaction-state potential than what they incorrectly reckoned that to be instead, which was continued compliance.

In other words, far more slaves than realized it would have been better off dying in a rebellion, as such would have ensured a higher percentage of net positive outcomes for the survivors freed (who at nonzero odds might even be themselves), while continued compliance did not out-compete death in utility of outcome, given the horrific brutality and inhumanity of America’s slave system. So there really was no good reason to remain compliant; but not everyone is rational, particularly when they are deprived of education, time, and even nutrition, and under continual debilitating duress. Of course when compliance really was the optimal choice (a slave had it good enough to stick around, however put upon), then my point is moot. But we are asking about the condition where it would not be the optimal choice, which is the only condition that approaches what antinatalists need to be true of all human beings whatever, and not just exceptionally situated humans (like 19th century American slaves). And in that condition, there are options with far more net utility than death—even if risking death is needed to have any probability of obtaining them.

Honestly, this is basic Game Theory: simply dying has a zero probability of gains; whereas even a 1% chance of surviving and escaping one’s life-devaluing conditions by rebellion is literally an infinite increase in utility (as any nonzero number is infinitely larger than zero). And that’s even accounting for diminishing returns and relative utilities (see Pascal’s Wager and the Ad Baculum Fallacy). And this is for 19th century American slaves, arguably the worst situated people in human history. So if this follows even for them, it darned well follows for all other human beings, past been or ever to be. If you asked Frederick Douglass if he was better off freed than slave, he would say yes, by loads; and objectively observing the differences in conditions, both of which he experienced, you would agree. But it cannot be that Douglass moved from a worse to a better state, and the complete absence of any positive states would be a yet further improvement. To the contrary, it would be a reversal. If Douglass was better off freed than slave, he logically necessarily must have been better off alive than dead. There is no logically coherent way to frame it otherwise. You can never get “nothing” to be more than “something.”

Incoherence Plus Absence of Facts Equals Bullshit

You cannot simultaneously will to be a universal rule “life is better than death” (so stop creating lives) and “death is better than life” (so preserve all existing lives), so you can’t get antinatalism on a deontological approach; and you can’t get “nothing is more than something,” so you can’t get antinatalism on a teleological approach; and there is no “virtue” or “hypothetical imperative” that can get there either, because both require backwards appeal to either deontology or teleology, or both (see Open Letter to Academic Philosophy: All Your Moral Theories Are the Same). So antinatalism is simply done for. It has no factual or logical basis.

As Kenton Engel put it, as a philosophy, antinatalism is “sociologically ignorant and vapid.” Good critiques of it with which I concur are by Bryan Caplan and Artir. The latter tackles more directly the illogical and convoluted argument of David Benatar, the poster child of antinatalist thought. What one notices rather quickly is that Benatar sucks at fourth-grade arithmetic. His arguments depend on ignoring the existence of “zero” and thus assuming anything that is not a positive is a negative, and vice versa. Thus he illogically twists himself into concluding that there is no mathematical difference between zero and “two minus one.” For example, he concludes that being dead (zero consciousness, hence zero goods) is no different (indeed even “better” somehow) than being alive and mildly put upon (actual consciousness with a net but not absolute good). But this makes no mathematical sense. There is very definitely a difference between being conscious and not in pain and not being in pain because you are not conscious. And that difference is both enormous and possessed of an enormous measurable positive utility. So clearly something has gone horribly wrong in Benatar’s train of thought.

Artir gets at the error. Benatar constructs a naive (and thus factually false) account of why we have certain differential intuitions about potential persons. For example, we do not feel sad for “potential happy people never realized” because unrealized people don’t exist and thus don’t have things to lose, and we also know there is a limited resource capacity, so the slots occupied by realized happy people have to be interchangeable (not every logically possible person can exist). Conversely, we do think “potential miserable people” should never be realized because, unlike “unrealized happy people,” “realized miserable people” would exist and would have things to lose. Benatar never comes to either realization, and thus he operates from premises that exclude these, the actual reasons, we have different intuitions about potential people. And as one can expect, he then gets an illogical, contrafactual result. Bad premises get you bad conclusions. We aren’t obligated to bring every happy person into existence because we physically can’t (resource limits contradict the objective) and because no loss is suffered by persons who never exist; whereas we are obligated to not bring miserable persons into existence because that would mean they would actually exist and thus can suffer the predicted losses. Actual people have notably different properties than potential people; and all our asymmetrical decisions regarding those two groups follow from this very fact.

I could add another fatal error in Benatar’s logic, which is his failure to appreciate that civilization operates fundamentally by division of labor. He often seems to confuse obligations on a society with obligations on an individual. But that’s nonsense. “We ought to have police officers” is morally true. “Every single human being ought to be a police officer” is not. Analogously, “We ought to produce a reasonable and sustainable supply of new people every decade” is morally true. “Every single human being ought to have kids” is not. We as a society are morally obligated to support parents in various ways; because we need them and their labor, not only because we need kids economically, but more so because human happiness can only continue, and continue to improve, in such fashion. But it does not follow that every member of society should be a parent, any more than every member of society should be a police officer, or a fire fighter, or a city council member, or a grocer, or a historian. The simple reason all human beings are not obligated to have children is that civilization only produces net goods for us all when we exercise its basic principle of division of labor—not everyone can be expected to do everything; ergo not everyone should be expected to do everything. Likewise, there are good arguments for pursuing ZPG, or even a managed reduction of population to a level that would optimize net goods, precisely because doing that will optimize the net good for all actual people; but these goals are rejected by antinatalists, and they follow from exactly the opposite premises to antinatalism’s anyway.

Of course, as I also noted, Benatar’s conclusion when taken to its actual logical outcome would demand that we not only extinguish ourselves, but first build a self-replicating fleet of space robots programmed to extinguish all life and every civilization in the universe—in other words, we should become the soullessly murderous alien monsters of virtually every sci-fi film made. It’s obvious something has gone wrong in your thinking if that’s where you’re landing. Benatar struggles to argue against this being the implication of his premises, but (as I already illustrated) such efforts are never logically valid or sound. The whole cockup bears an analogy to the equally foolish argument “our government’s policies are bad, therefore we should eliminate government,” rather than what is actually the rational response, that “our government’s policies are bad, therefore we need better government.” One can say exactly the same of the entirety of human society. We already have working examples of good lives and good communities on good trajectories. So we know the failure to extend that globally is an ethical failure of action on our part and not some existentially unavoidable fate we should run away from like cowards.

But Benatar’s entire argument is ridiculous even apart from that. As Atir succinctly puts it, even a “world of perfect bliss and happiness and meaningfulness, that contains the mere possibility of someone somewhere experiencing a minor itch is not worth bringing into existence” on Benatar’s view. There is no factual or logical basis for such a view. It is total 100% bullshit. Really, it’s on a par with “human souls live in beans, therefore the legume market is a genocidal horror.” Even Benatar’s attempt to escape this fact by appealing to disanalogous concepts exposes him as even more illogical than we’ve already seen; like, for example, arguing that we “don’t know” whether a person we create “might” end up miserable and would have been better off dead, and the teeniest tiniest possibility of that should warrant our refraining.

This is the most hare brained argument ever conceived in the history of philosophy. It reminds me of a scene in a Chevy Chase movie where someone tries defending the purchase of fighter planes that malfunction when wet, and the only sane general in the room shouts, incredulously, “Have none of you ever heard of rain!?” The argument of “possible outcomes opposite intention” applies to literally every act and choice every human will ever make (up to and including literally just breathing); consequently, it refutes itself. Game Theory, again. If you have two options, one leads to no positive sum outcomes, and the other leads very probably to positive sum outcomes and only improbably to negative sum outcomes, the only rational move is the second. All life consists of risk. If you are scared of all risk no matter how small or mitigable, then yeah, maybe you’d be better off dead. But the rest of us aren’t that stupid. The correct solution (as in the rational solution) to risk is not “the avoidance of all conceivable risk”; it’s taking steps to reduce or mitigate that risk. “I might die if I go outside, therefore I should never go outside” is the voice of an idiot (or literally the insane); “I might die if I go outside, therefore I should cooperate with society in making that as safe as we can” is the voice of the rational and sane.

And this does not change when it’s “other people affected.” Because you might accidentally cause some unsuspecting bystander’s death if you go outside, too. The response to that possibility is to take all morally available action to reduce its probability. And that’s it. All rational actors accept this is the case. I know I could be the victim of someone else’s unintentional accident. That’s part of the risk of “going outside” (or even staying in). The correct course of action is to keep that probability low. It is not to kill myself, lest I otherwise might be crushed by a building whose maker, unbeknownst to me, just happened to have bribed a building inspector. One has zero probability of gain. The other has a nonzero probability of gain. Only one of those two options actually produces a net expected utility. Even if I get crushed one twentieth of a second after making this decision, so that in both outcomes there will be no net gain, such that killing myself only avoids a net loss, it still produces zero gain. By waiting to see what happens, I get a nonzero probability of a positive gain. Death cannot do that for you—not even for a merely potential person. You can never win a lottery you never play; and when the odds of winning are near 100%, you have to be a stone cold idiot to try and argue against buying a ticket. Hence the problem with, for example, kids who end up with bad parents or bad luck, is not that they were born. The problem is their parents or their luck. And solutions should attack the problem. Only a fool thinks otherwise. And yes, that makes Benatar a fool. All antinatalists are.

Indeed, a lot of Benatar-style argumentation hinges on their wingeing about some person brought into the world “who regrets” that they were (this seems to be their actual emotional motivation for their stupid arguments; and for this they really need a therapist, not a philosophy journal). And in their stupidity, they fault this “hypothetical” person’s having been born for that outcome. But that’s false. There is no actual case, and never has been any actual case, wherein merely being born caused any negative outcome whatever. They are wingeing about the wrong thing. And this is proved by all the people who turned out well. If they could, so could anyone. The problem therefore is not being born (which all people share in common, so it cannot be the cause of any such difference—honestly, this is Causal Logic 101). The problem is whatever else has happened to produce a different outcome. Maybe it’s a genetic defect. Well, then that can be solved with genetic engineering or other treatments, or by rationally selective abortion rather than indiscriminate mass abortion. Or maybe it’s a circumstance (bad parents, a brain parasite from swimming, an accidental fall, a drunk driver, redlining, a hurricane, an ugly mug, systemic racism, unregulated capitalism, Vladimir Putin). Well, then that’s the problem then, isn’t it? We should get on that. Either fix it, or work around it. And the rest of us ought to do what we reasonably can to create a society that will help you with that.

No matter how depressed you are because of some thing you can’t have or do for whatever reason, there are a thousand other ways to enjoy life, and ten thousand other dice to roll for a shot thereat; so even when a direct solution to the problem isn’t available, an indirect one usually is, and so you should simply reinvest in some of those alternatives rather than obsessing over whatever few things you don’t have access to (and science has already established what the best alternatives are, e.g. a life of the mind, more presentism, cultivation of friendships and passions: see Justin Brierley and the Meaning of Life and Your Own Moral Reasoning). And if after accounting for all that you really do end up in a condition where you really can’t acquire any net gain no matter what you do (like, a case that would actually pass muster in any legal assisted suicide regime), then you can easily mitigate that problem yourself with a conscientious and informed suicide. You really aren’t out anything here; you had a shot, and you got to exit when all options failed. So even then, you had a solve—and it got to be your choice, not someone else’s. But really, I must remind you, this is an extremely rare outcome; most suicides are neither conscientious nor informed, and are based on false beliefs and a failure of reason. If you’re in the United States, you can check which by dialing 988.

There is no argument here for never giving anyone a shot. Hence the argument of Häyry & Sukenick, in “Imposing a Lifestyle: A New Argument for Antinatalism,” Cambridge Quarterly of Healthcare Ethics (2023), doesn’t carry any weight here, because it hinges on the notion that rationalists are against all “opt-out” protocols, like judicious suicide; but we aren’t, so there is no pertinent violation of consent. Indeed, we assume the same responsibility for children (morally and governmentally) as we do for the treatment of anyone else who deserves goods but can’t consent to them until after the fact—like the drowning, the comatose, and the insane. We don’t ask consent before installing safety features in anyone’s cars or roads, for example. They will eventually be able to vote for or against those things somewhere in the chain of authority (from propositions to legislatures), but we don’t wait for it, and no one of sense would want us to have.

Most goods are given to people without asking (civil and human rights; infrastructure; clean air and water; sustainably managed fisheries and forests; in most sensible countries, even access to quality health care), because we can’t wait to ask first, and the cost to them of that delay is net-positive and thus entirely warranted by the processes we’ve built. Because opting out is always possible. Euthanasia and sailboats are available to all (whether religious fanatics try to stop you or not). Which is not to say having children in the way we do will always be ethical—it simply is, at present, the only way to give the gift of life to new people, and to keep the economy running for everyone else. In future, ethics will curtail our options (see my proposed “Law of Generation” in How Not to Live in Zardoz), but it will not end them. In mere decades, new lives in the form of manufactured AI’s, born without the disabilities of ever being mentally and physically “a child,” will be inevitable; and as long as we pursue that ethically, it will not in and of itself be unethical.

Hence trying to argue for never having children is here like arguing for eradicating Earth’s atmosphere to prevent hurricanes, on the logic that, “Well, if it wasn’t for an atmosphere, there would be no hurricanes.” You may as well try to sell us fighter planes that don’t work when wet. We’re not buying what you’re selling. If you don’t like your life, you are obligated to get help with that, or find whichever gamble of escape has the best odds of a positive outcome and roll the dice (and keep doing that until you score). Because you never win if you never roll. And you never get to roll if you don’t exist. Suicide is almost always a fool’s move because it consists of preferring a zero probability of a cash prize to a decent nonzero probability of it. Only when that probability is legit too small and the costs legit too high to warrant a likely outcome before you die anyway does euthanasia make rational sense—and you can never know when that will be until you get there, which requires you to actually exist first. So the mere possibility of this cannot affect anyone’s decision to have kids.

The only thing actually keeping us from realizing every possible person’s existence is that there isn’t room for you all. Maximizing everyone’s utility requires optimizing population size. And in that and every other respect we are obligated to care about the odds of outcome we are leaving for anyone we create. We ought not create them if we can’t give them respectably good odds. But we are not obligated in any way to people who don’t exist; we only have such obligations towards those who will exist. That is what governs all natal decisions. Not Benatar’s illogical contradictory nonsense.

The Belshaw Argument

Okay. So David Benatar is a fact-challenged fool who can’t logic his way out of a paper bag and probably needs professional therapy. Can his case be salvaged? Christopher Belshaw gave it a try. He opens with several paragraphs trashing Benetar’s shit logic, which is encouraging. But when Belshaw gets to his own arguments, he is barely any more rational.

First, he tries to argue that “If we are looking just to the well-being of such animals” as, say, giraffes or sheep, “and not to their instrumental value then, I claim, we should think it better if these animals didn’t exist. And so we have reason to end their lives.” I do not think animals have the same ontological or moral status as people (see my debate In Defense of the Scientific Use of Animals). But I do not concur with Belshaw’s reasoning here. It is possible for a sheep to have a net good life. It’s possible even for an industrial chicken or a pig to. This is what justifies our pursuit of enforcing moral and humane husbandry, without entailing the conclusion that killing them is bad (it’s not, if we do it humanely). There is such a thing as a better and a worse life for animals, which mathematically entails that a zero life cannot out-sum the better life. Zero does not equal two minus one. Belshaw seems to stumble from the conclusion that most animal lives do not rise to the experiential value of human lives to his assertion that we should just eradicate all animals—that this is better (so, not even neutral!).

Animals have no conscious existence that gains value by extension—in other words, there is little actual difference between a pig living one year or ten, it will itself never appreciate anything about this—but there is a substantive and measurable difference between an animal experiencing life at all (particularly to adulthood) and not at all. I do think ultimately there will be no animals in this sense (when we all live in virtual realities, we might have things like happy animal servants and trees that grow steak, but we’ll have no morally legitimate reason to replicate animals exactly as exist now). But as long as there are animals, there is no justification for eradicating them. True, in part this is due to the fact that we cannot simply, like Belshaw, dismiss their instrumental value (we quite need animals for a functioning global ecosystem, as well as all the industrial and commercial and social uses we find for them). One might agree with Belshaw that animals going extinct that won’t have a place in the future ecosystem should be left to their fate and not artificially “rescued,” but this conclusion would not extend to all animals whatever. Even apart from their instrumental value, their experiential life is still more meaningful than no life at all.

So I would call this a bad example. The value of animal life is much lower than human life. But less is not the same thing as zero—and zero is not the same thing as a negative. This is a the same arithmetic fail as Benatar’s. So all Belshaw’s wingeing about Daphne’s parrot gains him no purchase here. People aren’t parrots. And that’s just that. And the occasional parrot approaching a fate we’d rather kill them before than let them endure does not translate to “we ought to make a virus that sterilizes the entire genus of parrots so that parrots exist no more upon this Earth.” That’s just stupid. There is simply no logical connection between these two decisions. Parrots have few values as we conceive them, but still the world would be better with parrots than without, even if people didn’t exist to appreciate this, and far more so because people do exist to appreciate this. Like Daphne. Mars would certainly be a more valuable place, by every metric, if it thrived with animal life than if it were (as it is) a bare rock. To argue there’d be no meaningful difference, even in the absence (much less in the presence) of space-faring Earthlings, between those two versions of Mars is just dumb and has no place in serious philosophy.

In any case, as even Belshaw admits, we can’t connect this illogical conclusion to human antinatalism anyway, because by changing just one thing in his thought experiment (and philosophers too often suck at thought experiments) we would collapse the whole endeavor: give Daphne’s parrot human-level intelligence, such that you can have a conversation with it about the upcoming painful surgeries and its prognosis after them. Would Belshaw really then say, “Kill the fucker! Act of mercy!” Or would he change his tune entirely, when now he could be that parrot, able to rationally contemplate the options and their outcomes and make his own decision whether to be gassed or endure the treatment to enjoy more good years after. Dollars to doughnuts, he’d nix the gas option—and he as much says so. As Belshaw admits, the reason we are readier to euthanize a bird in such conditions is precisely that it can’t engage in this rational evaluation, it doesn’t value the extension of its life in any substantively analogous sense, and the loss endured by killing it isn’t remotely comparable to doing that if it were an intelligent person we could have a conversation with, and consequently the costs of such interventions aren’t merited as they are with people. Humans aren’t parrots.

So why does Belshaw bring it up? I don’t know. It gets nowhere toward a defense of antinatalism. He doesn’t even produce a logical case for exterminating animals (despite insisting he has). So this was all wasted ink. Why did he bother? In his penultimate section he winds around in his illogical, convoluted essay to arguing that babies have no appreciable net utility so that if they won’t survive a year, we should smother them outright and be done with it—for their own good. Like Benatar, nothing Belshaw says leading to this conclusion is scientifically or factually true. Babies barely recall pains they suffer, so that “colic and teething” won’t even really bear much negative utility for them across their entire year of wonderment, giggling, and joy. So his premise that babies are miserable is bullshit. Antinatalists are fond of bullshit. It’s their favorite meal. They serve it whenever they can. And that’s even apart from the fact that we never even know this anyway (there is no such thing as a condition that “guarantees” a baby will die in a year; prognosis is never that reliable, which is the point of not acting so rashly as to just smother babies everywhere willy nilly).

Eventually Belshaw throws out a random assertion that he thinks everyone should stop having children because we only have them to exploit them (as labor when they become adults). This is also bullshit and suggests he also needs therapy. Hardly anyone in modern society has kids for this reason, and in fact we have laws against it. It is true we do have kids for the return on investment (in fact, we need them for that reason; Belshaw would be well and truly fucked if we stopped having them), but per Kant, moral people don’t treat kids merely as a means to an end but as an end in themselves. Remember what I said before about antinatalists wiping out atmospheres to stop hurricanes? They are always shooting the wrong target. If you are concerned that people aren’t treating children as people unto themselves who stand a good chance of enjoying life as much or more as their parents, and deserve to in exchange for the help we need from them in return, then the problem isn’t the children. It’s how we are treating them. Solutions must target the problem. So if the problem is how adults treat children, the solution is changing the adults, not getting rid of the kids. The antinatalist argument is simply a non sequitur, void of logic.

So when Belshaw ever gets around to even explicitly making an argument, we get this hot garbage:

Imagine we look at creatures on a distant planet. They live for ten years in agony, and thereafter sixty years in bliss. And there are no important psychological connections over this period. We probably think it better if these creatures never come to be, though of course after ten years there’s no reason at all to kill them, or wish them dead. This is, I’ve argued, more or less the picture with human lives.

Dude. No moral human being would think this way. What the fuck is wrong with Belshaw? Is he a sociopath? If we found a society of Martians who lived ten years in agony and sixty years in bliss, our thought would not be, “Get rid of them! Forced sterilizations!” We’d be moral monsters—and idiots. We’re neither. So that is not at all how 98% of human beings would react to this discovery, or how 100% of sane and rational human beings would. Not a single one would say “it would be better they never existed.” We’d say, “that’s a rough start they have to put up with, but it’s clearly worth it in the end.” And we’d say that because those Martians who actually live through it would say that. And that’s how empathy works.

Of course, in reality, we’d say, “Wow, what can we do to fix that?” And they’d say, “Hey, yeah, let’s share knowledge and resources and put our brains together and see if we can reduce those ten years, maybe even to zero in time!” And we’d say, “Yeah! That might take a while but it’s a worthy project. Good thing we didn’t stop having kids so we could extend that effort over generations for the good of your future kin!” And they’d say, “Yeah, because we believe compassion is a virtue, and therefore we want our future generations to have it better than we did.” And we’d bump fist to tentacle and get to work. Meanwhile the antinatalist would be wearing a dunce hat in the corner during all this, deprived of a pension because they’d renounced all dependency on the labor of new adults, and made fun of by passing school children for being callous asshats.

More to the point, Belshaw thinks he has given some sort of rational excuse for threading the needle between the contradictions of anti-natalism and pro-mortalism here. He thinks his completely sociopathic reaction to those hypothetical aliens produces some rational navigation between that Scylla and Charybdis. It doesn’t. It produces no rational basis for wanting those aliens extinct. So it simply fails to reconcile that conclusion with the more sane result of not wanting to kill them. The antinatalist philosophy remains as self-contradictory as ever. If those sixty closing years are worth having, so is their being born. The ten early years have absolutely zero effect on that calculus. It’s a net gain. And a net positive is always more than zero. The only proper response to that tragedy is not forced sterilizations to effect the extermination of a sentient species. It’s to try and make the miserable bits better. Which is the entire history of civilization in a nutshell. Solutions must target the problem. And birth isn’t these alien’s problem. Nor is existing.

Really, Belshaw has simply lost the plot. Without Benatar’s premise that any misery whatever negates the entire value of any life (even the sixty years after the ten for these Martians), such that (by some magic math) zero utility is larger than any other value in net utility, you simply don’t get antinatalism at all. Belshaw just did what all antinatalists do: flatly contradict themselves by admitting life, even with a 1:6 ratio of misery to joy, has above-zero utility (“there’s no reason at all to kill them, or wish them dead”); and in the very next sentence insisting death has a higher utility because it consists of zero utility. Bonkers. If they are better off alive than dead, then they are quite simply better off alive than dead. You can’t have it both ways. Pick a lane. Neither gets Belshaw to where he wants to go.

Belshaw ends by falsely claiming his view is less extreme than the Epicureans who said death was nothing. He clearly does not know anything about Epicurean philosophy, which doesn’t derive illogical conclusions from this premise like Belshaw does. But since he just asserted this and gave no argument (he couldn’t have, because there is no argument here to be had), I’ll let it go as just another stupid ejaculation from an asshat antinatalist. More pertinent is his attempt to claim in the end that what he has argued is a defense of his “claim that a painless death is bad for adults, but not for babies.” But he never actually argued this. He argues that maybe it wouldn’t be bad for babies we are 100% certain will die before their first year of age. That was not a sound argument anyway—as I just noted it was bullshit on both facts and logic; but even had it been sound, he still never connected that hypothetical to just killing all babies—even the ones we are fairly certain will live forty to eighty years or so (the average world life expectancy). So he seems somehow to have tricked himself into thinking he made an argument he never made. In case he needs this explained to him: the reason we don’t just kill babies is, first, that they do have a prospect of a long net-positive life (destroying antinatalism at its very premise) and, second, no less than other higher animals, they actually have a net-positive life even in their first year (on average, in fact, even in their net first twenty-four hours). The idea that such a life is “no different” than complete non-existence is simply bullshit. It’s bullshit even just in the math. Something is always more than zero. If you don’t understand that, you need to go back to grade school.

Conclusion

Antinatalism fails both on its logic (it is full of non sequiturs, equivocations, and false lemmas) and on every pertinent fact (neither the world nor human psychology operates in any of the ways its proponents claim and its premises require). There is no basis for it. It’s stupid. There is a case to be made for approaching a smaller population and for managing child production (and every other aspect of society) to ensure better outcomes for every actual person produced by it, and for in various ways respecting individual choices whether to have any kids or not, or how many, or when, and moral considerations can weigh there (some people should not have kids, while other people would do well to). But none of that case involves any of the premises on which antinatalism is based.

Statistically almost no one regrets being alive, and of those few there are the vast majority are mentally ill and need treatment, not death (because their reasoning is provably delusional and irrational; and people ought only take a catastrophic action rationally and on well-founded beliefs), and of those very few left who actually have an objectively rational basis for not wanting to be alive anymore, they can exercise their own choice to. We have no business making that choice for them, much less on no certain knowledge of its even being warranted. Our decisions about child production must be based on the likely outcomes of those actually produced. We have absolutely no reason to consider or care about the feelings of people who don’t exist and never will. Only the living matter; whether alive now, or later. All our decisions must further their welfare. Because we are all obligated to leave the world better off than we found it. And we can’t do that if from our own stupid decisions there is no world left at all.

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